色综合色欲色综合色综合色综合r 色综合色狠狠天天综合网 ,日韩av一区二区精品不卡 http://cqsqsyxx.cn 頂尖交易員信息服務(wù)提供商 Fri, 07 Feb 2025 14:43:36 +0000 zh-Hans hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.7.4 http://cqsqsyxx.cn/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/cropped-微信圖片_20241124141529-32x32.png 技術(shù)分析 – 金盤手 http://cqsqsyxx.cn 32 32 Fakey 交易策略 (Inside Bar False Break Out) http://cqsqsyxx.cn/688.html http://cqsqsyxx.cn/688.html#respond Sun, 29 Dec 2024 14:17:55 +0000 http://cqsqsyxx.cn/?p=688 The Fakey Pattern (Inside Bar False Break Out)
Fakey 形態(tài) (內(nèi)線 False 突破)

The Fakey pattern can be best be described as a “false-breakout from an inside bar pattern”. The Fakey pattern always starts with an?inside bar pattern. When price initially breaks out from the inside bar pattern but then quickly reverses, creating a false-break, and closes back within the range of the mother bar or inside bar, we have a fakey pattern.
Fakey 模式最好被描述為 “從內(nèi)線柱線形態(tài)中假突破”。Fakey 模式總是以內(nèi)線 bar 模式開始。當(dāng)價(jià)格最初從內(nèi)線形態(tài)突破,但隨后迅速反轉(zhuǎn),產(chǎn)生假突破,并收盤回到母柱線或內(nèi)線柱線的范圍內(nèi)時(shí),我們有一個(gè)假形態(tài)。

So, think of it like this: Inside Bar + False-Breakout = Fakey pattern.
所以,可以這樣想:內(nèi)線 + 假突破 = Fakey 形態(tài)。

Fakey pattern can have a pin bar as the false-break bar or not. The false-break bar might also be a two-bar pattern where the first bar closes outside the inside bar / mother bar range and then the subsequent bar completes the false-break by closing back within the range of the mother bar and (or) inside bar.
Fakey 模式可以有 pin bar 作為 false-break bar,也可以不作為 false-break bar。假突破柱線也可能是一個(gè)雙柱線形態(tài),其中第一根柱線收盤價(jià)在內(nèi)線/母柱線范圍之外,然后后續(xù)柱線通過在母柱線和(或)內(nèi)線范圍內(nèi)收盤來完成假突破。

Fakey’s are a very important and potent?price action trading strategy?because they can help us identify stop-hunting by the ‘big boys’ and provide us with a very good clue as to what price might do next. Learning?how to trade the fakey pattern?is something every price action trader should take seriously, it’s a critical weapon to have in your p.a. trading arsenal.
Fakey’s 是一種非常重要且有效的價(jià)格行為交易策略,因?yàn)樗鼈兛梢詭椭覀冏R(shí)別“大佬”的止損獵人,并為我們提供一個(gè)很好的線索,告訴我們價(jià)格下一步可能會(huì)做什么。學(xué)習(xí)如何交易虛假模式是每個(gè)價(jià)格行為交易者都應(yīng)該認(rèn)真對(duì)待的事情,它是您的 p.a. 交易武器庫中的重要武器。

Let’s take a look at some examples of different types of Fakey patterns to clarify this price action strategy.
讓我們看一下一些不同類型的 Fakey 模式的示例,以闡明這種價(jià)格行為策略。

Note, in the above diagram of different Fakey patterns, there’s always an inside bar setup first, followed by the false-breakout of the inside bar. Fakey’s can vary slightly from the examples you see above, but the four examples above represent the most common types of?Fakey trading strategies?that you will encounter on the charts.
請(qǐng)注意,在上面不同 Fakey 模式的圖中,總是首先有一個(gè)內(nèi)線設(shè)置,然后是內(nèi)線的假突破。Fakey 與您在上面看到的示例略有不同,但上面的四個(gè)示例代表了您將在圖表上遇到的最常見的?Fakey 交易策略類型。

How to trade with Fakey Patterns
如何使用 Fakey Patterns 進(jìn)行交易

Fakey patterns can be traded in trending markets, range-bound markets or even against the trend form key chart levels. There are a lot of false-breakouts in the Forex market, so learning to trade with the Fakey pattern is very important since it can help you take advantage of and profit from these false breakouts, rather than falling victim to them as so many traders do.
Fakey 模式可以在趨勢(shì)市場(chǎng)、區(qū)間波動(dòng)市場(chǎng)甚至與關(guān)鍵圖表水平的趨勢(shì)相反進(jìn)行交易。外匯市場(chǎng)上有很多假突破,因此學(xué)習(xí)使用 Fakey 模式進(jìn)行交易非常重要,因?yàn)樗梢詭椭眠@些假突破并從中獲利,而不是像許多交易者那樣成為它們的受害者。

The most common entries for a Fakey signal include the following:
Fakey 信號(hào)最常見的條目包括:

  • Enter as price breaks back past the inside bar or mother bar low or high, following the initial false-break. This can be an on-stop entry or an at market entry.
    在價(jià)格突破內(nèi)線或母線低點(diǎn)或高點(diǎn)時(shí)入場(chǎng),在初始假突破之后。這可以是止損入場(chǎng)或市場(chǎng)入場(chǎng)。
  • If the Fakey pattern has a pin bar you can use a?pin bar trade entry
    如果 Fakey 形態(tài)有 pin bar,您可以使用?pin bar 交易條目

Let’s take a look at several different examples of trading Fakey signals in various market conditions:
讓我們看一下在各種市場(chǎng)條件下交易 Fakey 信號(hào)的幾個(gè)不同示例:

Trading Fakey’s in a Trending Market
在趨勢(shì)市場(chǎng)中交易 Fakey’s

The chart below shows us a good example of a Fakey buy signal with a pin bar as the false-break bar, in a trending market. Note in this signal that there were actually three inside bars within the mother bar structure. This is relatively common, and sometimes you will even see four inside bars within a mother bar before the false-break or ‘Fakey’ bar occurs.
下圖顯示了在趨勢(shì)市場(chǎng)中以 pin bar 作為假突破柱線的 Fakey 買入信號(hào)的一個(gè)很好的例子。請(qǐng)注意,在此信號(hào)中,母柱結(jié)構(gòu)內(nèi)實(shí)際上有三個(gè)內(nèi)柱。這種情況相對(duì)常見,有時(shí)您甚至?xí)?false-break 或 ‘Fakey’ 柱線出現(xiàn)之前在母柱線中看到四個(gè)內(nèi)柱線。

The next chart shows us another good example of trading a Fakey pattern in a trending market. There was a clear uptrend in place prior to the formation of this Fakey pattern. Note that this particular Fakey was one with a 2-bar false-break, meaning instead of one bar as the false-break, the false-break occurred over two consecutive bars. This is another common form of the Fakey signal to watch for as you analyze and trade the markets:
下一張圖表向我們展示了在趨勢(shì)市場(chǎng)中交易 Fakey 模式的另一個(gè)很好的例子。在這個(gè) Fakey 形態(tài)形成之前,有一個(gè)明顯的上升趨勢(shì)。請(qǐng)注意,這個(gè)特定的 Fakey 是一個(gè) 2 柱的 false-break,這意味著 false-break 發(fā)生在兩個(gè)連續(xù)的柱上,而不是一個(gè)柱作為 false-break。這是您在分析和交易市場(chǎng)時(shí)需要注意的另一種常見形式的 Fakey 信號(hào)

Trading Fakey’s against the Trend from Key Chart Levels
從關(guān)鍵圖表水平逆勢(shì)交易 Fakey’s

Next, we are looking at an example of a counter-trend Fakey. That means it’s a Fakey that implies price might move against the recent / near-term daily chart momentum / trend. In this case, it was a bullish Fakey buy signal that formed at a key support level, following a move lower. Since this Fakey signal was so nice and obvious (well-defined) and it had the confluence of the key support level under it, it was a counter-trend Fakey worth taking:
接下來,我們來看一個(gè)反趨勢(shì) Fakey 的例子。這意味著這是一個(gè) Fakey,這意味著價(jià)格可能會(huì)與近期/近期日線圖的動(dòng)量/趨勢(shì)相反。在這種情況下,在走低之后,在關(guān)鍵支撐位形成看漲的 Fakey 買入信號(hào)。由于這個(gè) Fakey 信號(hào)非常好和明顯(定義明確),并且它下方有關(guān)鍵支撐位匯合點(diǎn),因此它是一個(gè)值得采用的反趨勢(shì) Fakey:

Here’s another example of a counter-trend Fakey pattern. This time it was a bearish Fakey sell signal from a key resistance level. Note the market was clearly pushing higher just prior to the formation of this Fakey. Then, when the Fakey formed, it also false-broke above a key resistance level in the market, adding extra ‘weight’ to the probability of a move lower. We can see the dramatic sell-off that followed this bearish Fakey:
這是另一個(gè)反趨勢(shì) Fakey 模式的例子。這一次是來自關(guān)鍵阻力位的看跌 Fakey 賣出信號(hào)。請(qǐng)注意,就在 Fakey 形成之前,市場(chǎng)顯然在走高。然后,當(dāng) Fakey 形成時(shí),它也假突破了市場(chǎng)的關(guān)鍵阻力位,為走低的可能性增加了額外的“權(quán)重”。我們可以看到這個(gè)看跌的 Fakey 之后的戲劇性拋售:

Tips on Trading the Fakey Pattern:
交易 Fakey 模式的提示:

  • The above Fakey examples do not include ‘every’ permutation of Fakey you will encounter, rather they are some of the more common ones. Just remember that if you have an inside bar pattern, followed by a false-breakout of that inside bar pattern, you probably have a Fakey pattern.
    上述 Fakey 示例不包括您將遇到的 Fakey 的“每個(gè)”排列,而是一些更常見的排列。請(qǐng)記住,如果您有一個(gè)內(nèi)線柱線形態(tài),然后是該內(nèi)線柱線形態(tài)的假突破,則您可能有一個(gè) Fakey 形態(tài)。
  • The above point, does not mean that you should trade ‘every’ pattern that has the Fakey requirements discussed above. Whether or not you should take a particular Fakey depends on not only its formation, but also where it forms in the market, i.e., whether or not it has confluence and ‘makes sense’ within the underlying market picture / dynamics. As you gain training and education, experience and screen time price action trading, you’ll develop a better understanding of which Fakey’s (or other?price action patterns) are worth trading and which are worth passing on.
    以上一點(diǎn)并不意味著您應(yīng)該交易具有上述 Fakey 要求的“每個(gè)”模式。您是否應(yīng)該選擇特定的 Fakey 不僅取決于它的形成,還取決于它在市場(chǎng)中的形成位置,即它是否在潛在的市場(chǎng)圖景/動(dòng)態(tài)中匯合并“有意義”。隨著您獲得培訓(xùn)和教育、經(jīng)驗(yàn)和屏幕時(shí)間價(jià)格行為交易,您將更好地了解哪些 Fakey(或其他價(jià)格行為模式)值得交易,哪些值得傳遞。
  • When beginning, stick to Fakey signals on the daily charts, as the daily chart signals will carry an overall higher degree of accuracy / reliability than lower time frame charts. Eventually, as you gain experience and confidence, you can work in 4 hour and 1 hour time frame Fakey’s.
    開始時(shí),請(qǐng)堅(jiān)持日線圖上的 Fakey 信號(hào),因?yàn)槿站€圖信號(hào)總體上比較低的時(shí)間框架圖表具有更高的準(zhǔn)確性/可靠性。最終,隨著您獲得經(jīng)驗(yàn)和信心,您可以在 4 小時(shí)和 1 小時(shí)的時(shí)間范圍內(nèi)工作 Fakey’s

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假突破交易策略 http://cqsqsyxx.cn/682.html http://cqsqsyxx.cn/682.html#respond Sun, 29 Dec 2024 14:15:18 +0000 http://cqsqsyxx.cn/?p=682 False Breakout Patterns  假突破模式

False-breakouts are exactly what they sound like: a breakout that failed to continue beyond a level, resulting in a ‘false’ breakout of that level. False breakout patterns are one of the most important?price action trading patterns?to learn, because a false-break is often a very strong clue that price might be changing direction or that a trend might be resuming soon. A false-break of a level can be thought of as a ‘deception’ by the market, because it looks like price will breakout but then it quickly reverses, deceiving all those who took the ‘bait’ of the breakout. It’s often the case that amateurs will enter what looks like an ‘obvious’ breakout and then the professional’s will push the market back the other way
假突破正是它們聽起來的樣子:未能持續(xù)超過某個(gè)水平的突破,導(dǎo)致該水平的“假”突破。假突破模式是需要學(xué)習(xí)的最重要的價(jià)格行為交易模式之一,因?yàn)榧偻黄仆ǔJ莾r(jià)格可能正在改變方向或趨勢(shì)可能很快恢復(fù)的非常有力的線索。一個(gè)水平的假突破可以被市場(chǎng)認(rèn)為是“欺騙”,因?yàn)榭雌饋韮r(jià)格會(huì)突破,但隨后它會(huì)迅速反轉(zhuǎn),欺騙了所有上了突破“誘餌”的人。通常情況下,業(yè)余愛好者會(huì)進(jìn)入看起來“明顯”的突破,然后專業(yè)人士會(huì)將市場(chǎng)推向相反的方向

As a price action trader, you want to learn how to use false breakouts to your advantage, rather than falling victim to them.
作為價(jià)格行為交易者,您想學(xué)習(xí)如何利用虛假突破來發(fā)揮自己的優(yōu)勢(shì),而不是成為它們的受害者。

Here are two clear examples of false breakouts above and below key levels. Note that false breakouts can take different forms. Sometimes a false break will occur with a?pin bar pattern?or a?fakey pattern?as the false break, and sometime not:
以下是關(guān)鍵水平上方和下方的假突破的兩個(gè)明顯示例。請(qǐng)注意,假突破可以采用不同的形式。有時(shí),pin bar 模式或?fakey 模式會(huì)發(fā)生假中斷作為假中斷,有時(shí)則不會(huì):

A false breakout is essentially a ‘contrarian’ move in the market that ‘flushes’ out those traders who may have entered on emotion, rather than logic and forward thinking.
虛假突破本質(zhì)上是市場(chǎng)上的“逆向”走勢(shì),它“淘汰”了那些可能憑情緒而不是邏輯和前瞻性思維進(jìn)入的交易者。

Generally speaking, a false-break is happens because amateur traders or those with ‘weak hands’ in the market will tend to enter the market only when it ‘feels safe’ to do so. This means, they tend to enter when a market is already quite extended in one direction (and it’s about ready to retrace) or they try to ‘predict’ a breakout from a?key support or resistance level?too early. Professional traders watch for these missteps by the amateurs, and the end result is a very good entry for them with a tight stop loss and huge risk reward potential.
一般來說,假突破的發(fā)生是因?yàn)闃I(yè)余交易者或那些在市場(chǎng)上“手弱”的人往往只有在“感覺安全”的情況下才會(huì)進(jìn)入市場(chǎng)。這意味著,他們傾向于在市場(chǎng)已經(jīng)向一個(gè)方向延伸(并且即將準(zhǔn)備回撤)時(shí)入場(chǎng),或者他們?cè)噲D過早地“預(yù)測(cè)”從關(guān)鍵支撐位或阻力位突破。專業(yè)交易員會(huì)注意業(yè)余愛好者的這些失誤,最終結(jié)果對(duì)他們來說是一個(gè)非常好的入場(chǎng)點(diǎn),具有嚴(yán)格的止損和巨大的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)回報(bào)潛力。

It takes discipline and a bit of ‘gut feel’ to know when a false-break is likely to occur, and you can never really know ‘for sure’ until after one has formed. The important thing, is to know what they look like and how to trade them, which we will discuss next…
需要紀(jì)律和一點(diǎn) “直覺 ”才能知道什么時(shí)候可能會(huì)發(fā)生假中斷,而且在假中斷形成之前,你永遠(yuǎn)無法真正 “確定 ”知道。重要的是了解它們的外觀以及如何交易它們,我們接下來將討論……

How to trade false breakout patterns
如何交易虛假突破形態(tài)

False breaks occur in all market conditions; trending, consolidating, counter-trend, but perhaps the best way to trade them is in-line with a dominant daily chart trend, like we see in the chart below.
假突破在所有市場(chǎng)條件下都會(huì)發(fā)生;趨勢(shì)、盤整、逆趨勢(shì),但也許最好的交易方式是與占主導(dǎo)地位的日線圖趨勢(shì)保持一致,就像我們?cè)谙聢D中看到的那樣。

Note, in the chart below, we had a clear downtrend in place and multiple false breakouts to the upside within that trend. When you see a false breakout that is against a dominant trend like this, it’s usually a very good signal that the trend is ready to resume. Amateur traders love to try and pick the bottom in a downtrend or the top in an uptrend, and this can cause false breakouts against the trend like we see below. On each of these false-breaks in the chart below, it was likely that amateur traders thought the downtrend was over and so they started buying, once this buying started the professionals came back in and took advantage of the temporary strength within the down-trending market and entered short from value, and then the downtrend resumed, flushing out all those amateur traders who tried picking the bottom.
請(qǐng)注意,在下圖中,我們有一個(gè)明顯的下降趨勢(shì),并在該趨勢(shì)中多次出現(xiàn)虛假的上行突破。當(dāng)您看到與這樣的主導(dǎo)趨勢(shì)相反的虛假突破時(shí),這通常是一個(gè)非常好的信號(hào),表明趨勢(shì)已準(zhǔn)備好恢復(fù)。業(yè)余交易者喜歡嘗試在下降趨勢(shì)中選擇底部或在上升趨勢(shì)中選擇頂部,這可能會(huì)導(dǎo)致與趨勢(shì)相反的錯(cuò)誤突破,如下所示。在下圖中的每一個(gè)這些錯(cuò)誤突破中,業(yè)余交易者很可能認(rèn)為下降趨勢(shì)已經(jīng)結(jié)束,因此他們開始買入,一旦這種購買開始,專業(yè)人士就會(huì)回來并利用下降趨勢(shì)中的臨時(shí)力量,從價(jià)值中進(jìn)入空頭,然后下降趨勢(shì)恢復(fù),淘汰了所有試圖選擇底部的業(yè)余交易者。

The chart below shows examples of false breakouts within a down-trending market. Note that each one led to a resumption of the trend…
下圖顯示了下跌趨勢(shì)市場(chǎng)中的假突破示例。請(qǐng)注意,每一次都導(dǎo)致了趨勢(shì)的恢復(fù)……

False-breaks are prevalent in trading ranges because traders often try to pick the breakout of the range but usually price stays range-bound for longer than most assume. Knowing that false-breaks are somewhat common when a market is struck in a trading range is a very valuable piece of information for a price action trader.
假突破在交易區(qū)間內(nèi)很普遍,因?yàn)榻灰讍T經(jīng)常試圖選擇突破區(qū)間,但通常價(jià)格在區(qū)間內(nèi)波動(dòng)的時(shí)間比大多數(shù)人假設(shè)的要長(zhǎng)。知道當(dāng)市場(chǎng)在交易區(qū)間內(nèi)被觸發(fā)時(shí),假突破有些常見,這對(duì)價(jià)格行為交易者來說是一個(gè)非常有價(jià)值的信息。

Trading a range-bound market can be very lucrative as you can wait for price action signals at the support or resistance boundary of the range to trade back toward the other side of the range.
在區(qū)間震蕩的市場(chǎng)進(jìn)行交易可能非常有利可圖,因?yàn)槟梢缘却齾^(qū)間支撐或阻力邊界的價(jià)格行動(dòng)信號(hào),然后交易回區(qū)間的另一側(cè)。

The best way to be sure you don’t get caught in a false-breakout from a trading range is to simply wait for price to close outside of the range for two days or more. If this happens, there’s a good chance the range is finished and price is then going to start trending again.
確保您不會(huì)陷入交易區(qū)間錯(cuò)誤突破的最佳方法是等待價(jià)格收盤價(jià)超出區(qū)間兩天或更長(zhǎng)時(shí)間。如果發(fā)生這種情況,則很有可能該范圍已完成,然后價(jià)格將再次開始趨勢(shì)。

In the chart below, we can see how a price action trader can use a?false breakout?pin bar signal to trade a false breakout of a trading range. Note the false break pin bar at the trading range key resistance, and also note the two false-breaks at the trading range’s support. More experienced traders can also trade false breakouts that don’t contain a price action trigger like a pin bar. The two false-breaks of support in the chart below were both potential buy signals for a savvy price action trader…
在下圖中,我們可以看到價(jià)格行為交易者如何使用虛假的突破?pin bar 信號(hào)來交易交易區(qū)間的虛假突破。請(qǐng)注意交易區(qū)間關(guān)鍵阻力位處的假突破 pin 條,并注意交易區(qū)間支撐處的兩個(gè)假突破。更有經(jīng)驗(yàn)的交易者也可以交易不包含價(jià)格行為觸發(fā)器(如針桿)的虛假突破。下圖中的兩個(gè)虛假支撐突破都是精明的價(jià)格行為交易者的潛在買入信號(hào)……

False breakout patterns can sometimes signal the beginning of a new trend, and the end of the current one.
虛假的突破形態(tài)有時(shí)可能預(yù)示著新趨勢(shì)的開始和當(dāng)前趨勢(shì)的結(jié)束。

In the chart example below, we can see a key resistance level that held price on two tests, then on the third test, price created a large false-break pin bar strategy that signaled a potential down move was coming.
在下面的圖表示例中,我們可以看到一個(gè)關(guān)鍵阻力位,該阻力位在兩次測(cè)試中保持價(jià)格,然后在第三次測(cè)試中,價(jià)格創(chuàng)建了一個(gè)大型假突破 pin bar 策略,表明潛在的下跌趨勢(shì)即將到來。

As we can see in this chart, not only did the false breakout signal a down move, but it kicked off an entire downtrend…
正如我們?cè)谶@張圖表中看到的,虛假突破不僅預(yù)示著下跌,而且還拉開了整個(gè)下跌趨勢(shì)的序幕……

False Breakout Pattern Trading Tips
假突破模式交易技巧

  • False breakouts occur in trending markets, range-bound markets and against the trend. Watch for them in all market conditions as they often give strong clues as to impending market direction.
    假突破發(fā)生在趨勢(shì)市場(chǎng)、區(qū)間波動(dòng)市場(chǎng)和逆勢(shì)市場(chǎng)。在所有市場(chǎng)條件下密切關(guān)注它們,因?yàn)樗鼈兺ǔ?huì)為即將到來的市場(chǎng)方向提供強(qiáng)有力的線索。
  • Trading counter-trend is difficult, but one of the ‘best’ ways to trade against a trend is to wait for a clear false breakout signal against a trend from a key support or resistance levels, as shown in the last example above.
    逆勢(shì)交易很困難,但逆勢(shì)交易的“最佳”方法之一是等待來自關(guān)鍵支撐位或阻力位的明顯虛假突破信號(hào),如上面的最后一個(gè)例子所示。
  • False-breakouts give us a ‘window’ into the ‘battle’ between amateur and professional traders, hence, they give us a way to trade with the professionals. Learn to identify and trade false breakout patterns and trading will take on a different light for you.
    假突破為我們提供了一個(gè)了解業(yè)余交易者和專業(yè)交易者之間“戰(zhàn)斗”的“窗口”,因此,它們?yōu)槲覀兲峁┝艘环N與專業(yè)人士進(jìn)行交易的方式。學(xué)會(huì)識(shí)別和交易虛假的突破模式,交易將為您帶來不同的光芒。
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支撐位和阻力位交易策略 http://cqsqsyxx.cn/648.html http://cqsqsyxx.cn/648.html#respond Sun, 29 Dec 2024 14:01:27 +0000 http://cqsqsyxx.cn/?p=648 What is support and resistance?
什么是支撐位和阻力位?

Support and resistance levels are horizontal price levels that typically connect price bar highs to other price bar highs or lows to lows, forming horizontal levels on a price chart.
支撐位和阻力位是水平價(jià)格水平,通常將價(jià)格條高點(diǎn)與其他價(jià)格條高點(diǎn)或低點(diǎn)與低點(diǎn)連接起來,在價(jià)格圖表上形成水平水平。

A support or resistance level is formed when a market’s?price action?reverses and changes direction, leaving behind a peak or trough (swing point) in the market. Support and resistance levels can carve out trading ranges like we see in the chart below and they also can be seen in trending markets as a market retraces and leaves behind swing points.
當(dāng)市場(chǎng)的價(jià)格行為反轉(zhuǎn)并改變方向,在市場(chǎng)上留下峰值或低谷(波動(dòng)點(diǎn))時(shí),就會(huì)形成支撐位或阻力位?。支撐位和阻力位可以劃定交易區(qū)間,如下圖所示,它們也可以在趨勢(shì)市場(chǎng)中看到,因?yàn)槭袌?chǎng)回撤并留下擺動(dòng)點(diǎn)。

Price will often respect these support and resistance levels, in other words, they tend to contain price movement, until of course price breaks through them.
價(jià)格通常會(huì)尊重這些支撐位和阻力位,換句話說,它們往往會(huì)遏制價(jià)格波動(dòng),直到價(jià)格當(dāng)然突破它們。

In the chart below, we see an example of support and resistance levels containing price within a trading range. A trading range is simply an area of price contained between parallel support and resistance levels like we see below (price oscillates between the support and resistance levels in a trading range).
在下圖中,我們看到一個(gè)支撐位和阻力位的示例,其中包含交易區(qū)間內(nèi)的價(jià)格。交易區(qū)間只是包含在平行支撐位和阻力位之間的一個(gè)價(jià)格區(qū)域,如下所示(價(jià)格在交易區(qū)間內(nèi)的支撐位和阻力位之間波動(dòng))。

Note that in the chart below, price eventually broke up and out of the trading range, moving above the resistance level, then when it came back down and tested the old resistance level, it then held price and acted as support…
請(qǐng)注意,在下圖中,價(jià)格最終跌破并走出交易區(qū)間,移動(dòng)到阻力位上方,然后當(dāng)它回落并測(cè)試舊的阻力位時(shí),它隨后守住價(jià)格并充當(dāng)支撐位……

The other primary way support and resistance levels are created in a market, is from swing points in a trend.
在市場(chǎng)上創(chuàng)建支撐位和阻力位的另一種主要方式是從趨勢(shì)中的擺動(dòng)點(diǎn)開始。

As a market trends, it retraces back on the trend and this retracement leaves a ‘swing point’ in the market, which in an uptrend looks like a peak and a downtrend looks like a trough.
隨著市場(chǎng)趨勢(shì),它會(huì)沿著趨勢(shì)回撤,這種回撤在市場(chǎng)上留下一個(gè)“擺動(dòng)點(diǎn)”,在上升趨勢(shì)中看起來像一個(gè)峰值,而下降趨勢(shì)看起來像一個(gè)低谷。

In an uptrend, the old peaks will tend to act as support after price breaks up past them and then retraces back down to test them. In a downtrend, the opposite is true; the old troughs will tend to act as resistance after price breaks down through them and then retraces back up to test them.
在上升趨勢(shì)中,舊峰值在價(jià)格突破后往往會(huì)充當(dāng)支撐,然后回撤以測(cè)試它們。在下降趨勢(shì)中,情況恰恰相反;舊低谷在價(jià)格跌破后往往會(huì)充當(dāng)阻力位,然后回撤以測(cè)試它們。

Here’s an example of a market testing previous swing points (support) in a downtrend, note that as the market comes back to test the old support, the level then behaves as ‘new’ resistance and will very often hold price. It’s wise to look for an entry point into a trend as it comes back and tests these previous swing points (see pin bar sell signal in chart below), because it’s at these levels that the trend is most likely to resume, creating a low-risk / high-reward potential:
這是一個(gè)市場(chǎng)在下降趨勢(shì)中測(cè)試先前擺動(dòng)點(diǎn)(支撐位)的示例,請(qǐng)注意,當(dāng)市場(chǎng)回來測(cè)試舊支撐位時(shí),該水平表現(xiàn)為“新”阻力位,并且通常會(huì)保持價(jià)格。明智的做法是在趨勢(shì)回歸時(shí)尋找進(jìn)入趨勢(shì)的切入點(diǎn)并測(cè)試之前的擺動(dòng)點(diǎn)(參見下圖中的柱線賣出信號(hào)),因?yàn)檎窃谶@些水平上,趨勢(shì)最有可能恢復(fù),從而產(chǎn)生低風(fēng)險(xiǎn)/高回報(bào)的潛力:

How to trade price action signals from support and resistance levels
如何從支撐位和阻力位交易價(jià)格行動(dòng)信號(hào)

Support and resistance levels are a price action trader’s ‘best friend’. When a price action entry signal forms at a?key level of support or resistance, it can be a high-probability entry scenario. The key level gives you a ‘barrier’ to place your stop loss beyond and since it has a strong chance of being a turning point in the market, there’s usually a good?risk reward ratio?formed at key levels of support and resistance in a market.
支撐位和阻力位是價(jià)格行為交易者的“最好的朋友”。當(dāng)價(jià)格行為入場(chǎng)信號(hào)在支撐位或阻力位的關(guān)鍵水平形成時(shí),這可能是一個(gè)高概率的入場(chǎng)場(chǎng)景。關(guān)鍵水平為您提供了一個(gè)“障礙”,可以設(shè)置您的止損,并且由于它很有可能成為市場(chǎng)的轉(zhuǎn)折點(diǎn),因此通常在市場(chǎng)的支撐和阻力關(guān)鍵水平上形成良好的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)回報(bào)率。

The price action entry signal, such as a?pin bar signal?or other, provides us with some ‘confirmation’ that price may indeed move away from the key level of support or resistance.
價(jià)格行為入場(chǎng)信號(hào),例如針桿信號(hào)或其他信號(hào),為我們提供了一些“確認(rèn)”,即價(jià)格確實(shí)可能遠(yuǎn)離關(guān)鍵支撐位或阻力位。

In the example chart below, we see a key level of resistance and a bearish?fakey strategy?that formed at it. Since this fakey showed such aggressive reversal and a false-break of the key resistance, there was a high-probability that price would continue lower following the signal…
在下面的示例圖表中,我們看到了一個(gè)關(guān)鍵的阻力位和一個(gè)在其上形成的看跌?fakey 策略。由于這個(gè)騙局顯示了如此激進(jìn)的反轉(zhuǎn)和關(guān)鍵阻力位的假突破,因此價(jià)格很有可能在信號(hào)發(fā)出后繼續(xù)走低……

The next example chart shows us how to trade price action from a support level in an uptrend. Note that once we got a clear pin bar buy signal, actually two pin bar signals in this case, the uptrend was ready to resume and pushed significantly higher from the key support level.
下一個(gè)示例圖表向我們展示了如何在上升趨勢(shì)中從支撐位交易價(jià)格走勢(shì)。請(qǐng)注意,一旦我們獲得明確的 pin bar 買入信號(hào),在本例中實(shí)際上是兩個(gè) pin bar 信號(hào),上升趨勢(shì)就準(zhǔn)備好恢復(fù)并從關(guān)鍵支撐位顯著推高。

The next chart example show us how sometimes in trending markets a previous swing level will act as a new support or resistance level and provide a good level to focus our attention on for price action entry signals.
下一個(gè)圖表示例向我們展示了在趨勢(shì)市場(chǎng)中,前一個(gè)擺動(dòng)水平有時(shí)如何充當(dāng)新的支撐位或阻力位,并為我們將注意力集中在價(jià)格行為入場(chǎng)信號(hào)上的良好水平。

In this case, the trend was up and a previous swing high in the uptrend eventually ‘flipped’ into a support level after price broke up above it. We can see that when price came back to retest that level the second time, it formed a nice pin bar entry signal to buy the market and re-enter the uptrend from a confluent level in the market.
在這種情況下,趨勢(shì)是上升的,并且在價(jià)格跌破后,上升趨勢(shì)中的先前擺動(dòng)高點(diǎn)最終“翻轉(zhuǎn)”為支撐位。我們可以看到,當(dāng)價(jià)格第二次返回重新測(cè)試該水平時(shí),它形成了一個(gè)很好的 pin bar 入場(chǎng)信號(hào),買入市場(chǎng)并從市場(chǎng)的匯合水平重新進(jìn)入上升趨勢(shì)。

Finally, the last chart we are looking at is an interesting one. Note the swing low that occurred in the down trend on the left side of the chart. You can see how this level stayed relevant months later, even after the trend changed from down to up. It first acted as a resistance level after price broke down through it, but once that resistance was broken, we had an uptrend form and then after that, that same level acted as support, and that’s where we see the?fakey pin bar combo signal?in the chart below:
最后,我們正在查看的最后一張圖表是一個(gè)有趣的圖表。請(qǐng)注意圖表左側(cè)下降趨勢(shì)中出現(xiàn)的擺動(dòng)低點(diǎn)。您可以看到該水平在幾個(gè)月后如何保持相關(guān)性,即使在趨勢(shì)從下降變?yōu)樯仙笠彩侨绱?。在價(jià)格跌破后,它首先充當(dāng)阻力位,但一旦突破阻力位,我們就會(huì)形成上升趨勢(shì),然后,同一水平充當(dāng)支撐位,這就是我們?cè)谙聢D中看到?fakey pin bar 組合信號(hào)的地方:

Tips on Support and Resistance
關(guān)于支撐位和阻力位的提示

  • Don’t get too carried away with trying to draw every little level on your charts. Aim to find the key daily chart levels, like we showed in the examples above, as these are the most important ones.
    不要太得意忘形地嘗試在圖表上繪制每一個(gè)小級(jí)別。旨在找到關(guān)鍵的日線圖水平,就像我們?cè)谏厦娴睦又姓故镜哪菢?,因?yàn)檫@些是最重要的水平。
  • The horizontal lines of support or resistance that you draw won’t always touch the ‘exact’ high or low of the bars it connects. Sometimes, it’s OK if the line connects bars slightly down from the high or up from the low. The important thing to realize is that this is not an exact science, instead it is both a skill and an art that you’ll improve at through training, experience and time.
    您繪制的支撐或阻力水平線并不總是觸及它所連接的柱線的“確切”高點(diǎn)或低點(diǎn)。有時(shí),如果這條線連接的條形從高點(diǎn)略微向下或從低點(diǎn)略微向上,那也是可以的。重要的是要意識(shí)到,這不是一門精確的科學(xué),它既是一種技能,也是一門藝術(shù),您將通過培訓(xùn)、經(jīng)驗(yàn)和時(shí)間來提高。
  • When in doubt about whether to take a particular price action entry signal or not, ask yourself if it’s at a key level of support or resistance. If it’s not at a key level of support or resistance, it might be better to pass on the signal.
    當(dāng)不確定是否采取特定的價(jià)格行為入場(chǎng)信號(hào)時(shí),問問自己它是否處于關(guān)鍵支撐位或阻力位。如果它不在關(guān)鍵支撐位或阻力位,最好傳遞信號(hào)。
  • A?price trading strategy, such as a pin bar, fakey, or?inside bar strategy?has a significantly better chance of working out if it forms from a confluent level of support or resistance in a market.
    價(jià)格交易策略,例如 pin bar、fakey 或?inside bar 策略,如果它從市場(chǎng)的支撐或阻力匯合水平形成,則成功的機(jī)會(huì)要大得多。
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為什么您應(yīng)該交易價(jià)格行為而不是新聞 http://cqsqsyxx.cn/631.html http://cqsqsyxx.cn/631.html#respond Sun, 29 Dec 2024 13:50:51 +0000 http://cqsqsyxx.cn/?p=631 Everything that affects a market and makes it move, from news, to economic reports, to big players like hedge funds and banks, is reflected via the raw price action on a?price chart. Thus, when you try analyzing all variables external to the price action of a market, you are doing something that is unnecessary, a waste of time and that makes the entire trading process far more complicated than it needs to be.
影響市場(chǎng)并使其移動(dòng)的一切都,從新聞到經(jīng)濟(jì)報(bào)告,再到對(duì)沖基金和銀行等大公司,都通過價(jià)格圖表上的原始價(jià)格行為反映出來。因此,當(dāng)您嘗試分析市場(chǎng)價(jià)格行為之外的所有變量時(shí),您正在做一些不必要的事情,浪費(fèi)時(shí)間,并且使整個(gè)交易過程比它需要的要復(fù)雜得多。

Fundamental analysis vs. Technical analysis
基本面分析 vs. 技術(shù)分析

The age old debate of Fundamental vs. Technical analysis is one that will probably never end. Fundamental traders trade solely off news and economic data, or “fundamentals”, as they believe they can make the best trading decisions from analyzing this information. Whereas, technical analysis traders make their trading decisions solely off price charts. Price action traders, are a specific type of technical analysis trader who make all their trading decisions solely off a market’s price movement or?price action. Other technical analysis traders may use indicators or trading software systems, etc., but the price action trader only uses a market’s price action.
基本面分析與技術(shù)分析的古老爭(zhēng)論可能永遠(yuǎn)不會(huì)結(jié)束。基本面交易者僅根據(jù)新聞和經(jīng)濟(jì)數(shù)據(jù)或“基本面”進(jìn)行交易,因?yàn)樗麄兿嘈潘麄兛梢酝ㄟ^分析這些信息來做出最佳交易決策。然而,技術(shù)分析交易者僅根據(jù)價(jià)格圖表做出交易決策。價(jià)格行為交易者是一種特定類型的技術(shù)分析交易者,他們僅根據(jù)市場(chǎng)的價(jià)格變動(dòng)或價(jià)格行為做出所有交易決策。其他技術(shù)分析交易者可能會(huì)使用指標(biāo)或交易軟件系統(tǒng)等,但價(jià)格行為交易者只使用市場(chǎng)的價(jià)格行為。

The primary reason why I trade with and highly recommend price action trading, is simply because all of the fundamental variables that affect a market, from any news event (war, weather, politics, etc.) to economic reports, are all ultimately reflected by price movement (price action) on a raw / ‘naked’ price chart. Thus, in my opinion, and in the opinion of many other successful traders, analyzing fundamental data is simply a distraction and a waste of time. It’s a waste of time because you can get all the information you need about a market simply by analyzing its price action, as the price action reflects all this fundamental data anyways.
我交易并強(qiáng)烈推薦價(jià)格行為交易的主要原因很簡(jiǎn)單,因?yàn)橛绊懯袌?chǎng)的所有基本變量,從任何新聞事件(戰(zhàn)爭(zhēng)、天氣、政治等)到經(jīng)濟(jì)報(bào)告,最終都反映在原始/“裸”價(jià)格圖表上的價(jià)格變動(dòng)(價(jià)格行為)。因此,在我和許多其他成功交易者看來,分析基本面數(shù)據(jù)只是分散注意力和浪費(fèi)時(shí)間。這是浪費(fèi)時(shí)間,因?yàn)槟恍璺治銎鋬r(jià)格行為即可獲得有關(guān)市場(chǎng)的所有信息,因?yàn)闊o論如何,價(jià)格行為都反映了所有這些基本數(shù)據(jù)。

Think of price action trading as getting the purest form of market data, filtered and cleaned up for you to use. As a trader, we are simply trying to take advantage of price movements in the market, so it only makes sense to analyze the actual price action, rather than trying to analyze variables that will eventually lead to price action. I like to think of price action as getting the market data ‘straight from the horses mouth’, as the old saying goes.
將價(jià)格行為交易視為獲得最純粹形式的市場(chǎng)數(shù)據(jù),經(jīng)過過濾和清理供您使用。作為交易者,我們只是試圖利用市場(chǎng)的價(jià)格變動(dòng),因此只有分析實(shí)際的價(jià)格行為才有意義,而不是試圖分析最終導(dǎo)致價(jià)格行為的變量。正如老話所說,我喜歡將價(jià)格行為視為“直接從馬嘴中”獲取市場(chǎng)數(shù)據(jù)。

Noise vs. Clarity

Price action filters all market data and provides a clear picture of what is happening in a market. If you try analyzing all the fundamental variables that can influence a market each day, you will drive yourself crazy. It really comes down to noise versus clarity. There’s a lot of ‘noise’ in the financial media about what a market ‘might’ do next if X,Y or Z happens, it all sounds very professional coming from the talking heads on T.V. and the internet, but at the end of the day, nothing they say really matters. This is because, all that really matters is what the charts show us via the price action.
價(jià)格行為過濾所有市場(chǎng)數(shù)據(jù),并清楚地了解市場(chǎng)中發(fā)生的事情。如果您嘗試每天分析所有可能影響市場(chǎng)的基本變量,您會(huì)讓自己發(fā)瘋。這真的歸結(jié)為噪音與清晰度。如果 X、Y 或 Z 發(fā)生,財(cái)經(jīng)媒體上有很多關(guān)于市場(chǎng)“可能”下一步做什么的“噪音”,這些聲音聽起來都非常專業(yè),但歸根結(jié)底,他們所說的一切都無關(guān)緊要。這是因?yàn)?,真正重要的是圖表通過價(jià)格行為向我們展示的內(nèi)容。

In the chart below, notice how the EURUSD market was in a clear downtrend from early May 2014 through mid-November 2015. Simply reading the raw price action of the chart would have told you that prices were likely to continue to fall because a downtrend was in place during this time. From this information, we could have watched for?price action reversal strategies?from resistance as well as bearish?price action breakout patterns?to trade in-line with the downtrend. Meanwhile, there were countless news events and economic reports released during these 7 months that implied price could push higher, while others said price might continue falling. You can avoid all this noise and contradictory data by simply looking at the raw price data on your price charts…
在下圖中,請(qǐng)注意 EURUSD 市場(chǎng)從 2014 年 5 月初到 2015 年 11 月中旬如何處于明顯的下跌趨勢(shì)中。僅閱讀圖表的原始價(jià)格行為就會(huì)告訴您,價(jià)格可能會(huì)繼續(xù)下跌,因?yàn)樵诖似陂g存在下降趨勢(shì)。從這些信息中,我們可以觀察來自阻力位的價(jià)格行為反轉(zhuǎn)策略以及看跌價(jià)格行為突破模式,以與下降趨勢(shì)保持一致進(jìn)行交易。與此同時(shí),在這 7 個(gè)月中發(fā)布的無數(shù)新聞事件和經(jīng)濟(jì)報(bào)告暗示價(jià)格可能會(huì)走高,而其他人則表示價(jià)格可能會(huì)繼續(xù)下跌。您只需查看價(jià)格圖表上的原始價(jià)格數(shù)據(jù)即可避免所有這些噪音和矛盾數(shù)據(jù)……

Conclusion  結(jié)論

Not everyone reading this lesson is going to agree with me 100%. Some people are always going to be convinced that they ‘need’ to analyze fundamental data and economic news reports, as there’s just so much of this information streaming out of the financial media each day. However, you will need to decide that you will follow and trade from something, and you can’t follow everything or you’ll be in a constant state of confusion and doubt.
不是每個(gè)閱讀這節(jié)課的人都會(huì) 100% 同意我的觀點(diǎn)。有些人總是會(huì)相信他們“需要”分析基本面數(shù)據(jù)和經(jīng)濟(jì)新聞報(bào)道,因?yàn)槊刻於加写罅啃畔呢?cái)經(jīng)媒體流出。但是,您需要決定您將跟隨某物并從中進(jìn)行交易,而您不能跟隨所有內(nèi)容,否則您將一直處于困惑和懷疑的狀態(tài)。

Experienced traders will likely understand better what I am talking about when I say that “all market variables are filtered through and reflected on a naked price chart”, but as a beginner it can be a hard pill to swallow at first. However, based on my experiences in the market, I am 100% confidence that following news and other fundamental data will eventual lead you to blow out your trading account. My experiences have shown me that a trader should strive to analyze and trade from a limited amount of data and use that data (price action) to make their trading decisions. If you let everything and anything influence your trading decisions, you will just be a gambler with no real strategy or trade edge.
當(dāng)我說“所有市場(chǎng)變量都經(jīng)過過濾并反映在裸價(jià)圖表上”時(shí),經(jīng)驗(yàn)豐富的交易員可能會(huì)更好地理解我在說什么,但作為初學(xué)者,一開始這可能是一顆難以下咽的藥丸。但是,根據(jù)我在市場(chǎng)上的經(jīng)驗(yàn),我 100% 相信關(guān)注新聞和其他基本數(shù)據(jù)最終會(huì)導(dǎo)致您的交易賬戶爆倉。我的經(jīng)驗(yàn)告訴我,交易者應(yīng)該努力從有限數(shù)量的數(shù)據(jù)中進(jìn)行分析和交易,并使用這些數(shù)據(jù)(價(jià)格行為)來做出交易決策。如果您讓所有事情影響您的交易決策,那么您將只是一個(gè)沒有真正策略或交易優(yōu)勢(shì)的賭徒。

I cannot guarantee that you will make money in the market by trading price action, but I can guarantee that doing so will give you the best possible chance, if you trade with discipline and patience. Trading with price action will remove a lot of the mental confusion from your trading and will give you clarity as to what your trading method is and what the market *might* do next. It won’t be easy, but the next time you see CNBC on, or Bloomberg, or come across an article from some ‘expert’ on what the Forex market ‘might’ do next, you’ve got to ignore it and go check out the charts to see what the price action is doing, as this is the best way to see what market actually IS doing and MIGHT do next.
我不能保證您會(huì)通過交易價(jià)格行為在市場(chǎng)上賺錢,但我可以保證,如果您以紀(jì)律和耐心進(jìn)行交易,這樣做會(huì)給您最好的機(jī)會(huì)。價(jià)格行為交易將消除您交易中的許多心理困惑,并讓您清楚地了解您的交易方法是什么以及市場(chǎng)下一步可能做什么。這并不容易,但下次您在 CNBC 或彭博社上看到,或者看到一些“專家”關(guān)于外匯市場(chǎng)下一步“可能”做什么的文章時(shí),您必須忽略它并去查看圖表,看看價(jià)格行為在做什么,因?yàn)檫@是了解市場(chǎng)實(shí)際在做什么以及下一步可能做什么的最佳方式。

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