The Fakey pattern can be best be described as a “false-breakout from an inside bar pattern”. The Fakey pattern always starts with an?inside bar pattern. When price initially breaks out from the inside bar pattern but then quickly reverses, creating a false-break, and closes back within the range of the mother bar or inside bar, we have a fakey pattern.
Fakey 模式最好被描述為 “從內(nèi)線柱線形態(tài)中假突破”。Fakey 模式總是以?xún)?nèi)線 bar 模式開(kāi)始。當(dāng)價(jià)格最初從內(nèi)線形態(tài)突破,但隨后迅速反轉(zhuǎn),產(chǎn)生假突破,并收盤(pán)回到母柱線或內(nèi)線柱線的范圍內(nèi)時(shí),我們有一個(gè)假形態(tài)。
So, think of it like this: Inside Bar + False-Breakout = Fakey pattern.
所以,可以這樣想:內(nèi)線 + 假突破 = Fakey 形態(tài)。
A Fakey pattern can have a pin bar as the false-break bar or not. The false-break bar might also be a two-bar pattern where the first bar closes outside the inside bar / mother bar range and then the subsequent bar completes the false-break by closing back within the range of the mother bar and (or) inside bar.
Fakey 模式可以有 pin bar 作為 false-break bar,也可以不作為 false-break bar。假突破柱線也可能是一個(gè)雙柱線形態(tài),其中第一根柱線收盤(pán)價(jià)在內(nèi)線/母柱線范圍之外,然后后續(xù)柱線通過(guò)在母柱線和(或)內(nèi)線范圍內(nèi)收盤(pán)來(lái)完成假突破。
Fakey’s are a very important and potent?price action trading strategy?because they can help us identify stop-hunting by the ‘big boys’ and provide us with a very good clue as to what price might do next. Learning?how to trade the fakey pattern?is something every price action trader should take seriously, it’s a critical weapon to have in your p.a. trading arsenal.
Fakey’s 是一種非常重要且有效的價(jià)格行為交易策略,因?yàn)樗鼈兛梢詭椭覀冏R(shí)別“大佬”的止損獵人,并為我們提供一個(gè)很好的線索,告訴我們價(jià)格下一步可能會(huì)做什么。學(xué)習(xí)如何交易虛假模式是每個(gè)價(jià)格行為交易者都應(yīng)該認(rèn)真對(duì)待的事情,它是您的 p.a. 交易武器庫(kù)中的重要武器。
Let’s take a look at some examples of different types of Fakey patterns to clarify this price action strategy.
讓我們看一下一些不同類(lèi)型的 Fakey 模式的示例,以闡明這種價(jià)格行為策略。
Note, in the above diagram of different Fakey patterns, there’s always an inside bar setup first, followed by the false-breakout of the inside bar. Fakey’s can vary slightly from the examples you see above, but the four examples above represent the most common types of?Fakey trading strategies?that you will encounter on the charts.
請(qǐng)注意,在上面不同 Fakey 模式的圖中,總是首先有一個(gè)內(nèi)線設(shè)置,然后是內(nèi)線的假突破。Fakey 與您在上面看到的示例略有不同,但上面的四個(gè)示例代表了您將在圖表上遇到的最常見(jiàn)的?Fakey 交易策略類(lèi)型。
How to trade with Fakey Patterns
如何使用 Fakey Patterns 進(jìn)行交易
Fakey patterns can be traded in trending markets, range-bound markets or even against the trend form key chart levels. There are a lot of false-breakouts in the Forex market, so learning to trade with the Fakey pattern is very important since it can help you take advantage of and profit from these false breakouts, rather than falling victim to them as so many traders do.
Fakey 模式可以在趨勢(shì)市場(chǎng)、區(qū)間波動(dòng)市場(chǎng)甚至與關(guān)鍵圖表水平的趨勢(shì)相反進(jìn)行交易。外匯市場(chǎng)上有很多假突破,因此學(xué)習(xí)使用 Fakey 模式進(jìn)行交易非常重要,因?yàn)樗梢詭椭眠@些假突破并從中獲利,而不是像許多交易者那樣成為它們的受害者。
The most common entries for a Fakey signal include the following:
Fakey 信號(hào)最常見(jiàn)的條目包括:
Let’s take a look at several different examples of trading Fakey signals in various market conditions:
讓我們看一下在各種市場(chǎng)條件下交易 Fakey 信號(hào)的幾個(gè)不同示例:
Trading Fakey’s in a Trending Market
在趨勢(shì)市場(chǎng)中交易 Fakey’s
The chart below shows us a good example of a Fakey buy signal with a pin bar as the false-break bar, in a trending market. Note in this signal that there were actually three inside bars within the mother bar structure. This is relatively common, and sometimes you will even see four inside bars within a mother bar before the false-break or ‘Fakey’ bar occurs.
下圖顯示了在趨勢(shì)市場(chǎng)中以 pin bar 作為假突破柱線的 Fakey 買(mǎi)入信號(hào)的一個(gè)很好的例子。請(qǐng)注意,在此信號(hào)中,母柱結(jié)構(gòu)內(nèi)實(shí)際上有三個(gè)內(nèi)柱。這種情況相對(duì)常見(jiàn),有時(shí)您甚至?xí)?false-break 或 ‘Fakey’ 柱線出現(xiàn)之前在母柱線中看到四個(gè)內(nèi)柱線。
The next chart shows us another good example of trading a Fakey pattern in a trending market. There was a clear uptrend in place prior to the formation of this Fakey pattern. Note that this particular Fakey was one with a 2-bar false-break, meaning instead of one bar as the false-break, the false-break occurred over two consecutive bars. This is another common form of the Fakey signal to watch for as you analyze and trade the markets:
下一張圖表向我們展示了在趨勢(shì)市場(chǎng)中交易 Fakey 模式的另一個(gè)很好的例子。在這個(gè) Fakey 形態(tài)形成之前,有一個(gè)明顯的上升趨勢(shì)。請(qǐng)注意,這個(gè)特定的 Fakey 是一個(gè) 2 柱的 false-break,這意味著 false-break 發(fā)生在兩個(gè)連續(xù)的柱上,而不是一個(gè)柱作為 false-break。這是您在分析和交易市場(chǎng)時(shí)需要注意的另一種常見(jiàn)形式的 Fakey 信號(hào):
Trading Fakey’s against the Trend from Key Chart Levels
從關(guān)鍵圖表水平逆勢(shì)交易 Fakey’s
Next, we are looking at an example of a counter-trend Fakey. That means it’s a Fakey that implies price might move against the recent / near-term daily chart momentum / trend. In this case, it was a bullish Fakey buy signal that formed at a key support level, following a move lower. Since this Fakey signal was so nice and obvious (well-defined) and it had the confluence of the key support level under it, it was a counter-trend Fakey worth taking:
接下來(lái),我們來(lái)看一個(gè)反趨勢(shì) Fakey 的例子。這意味著這是一個(gè) Fakey,這意味著價(jià)格可能會(huì)與近期/近期日線圖的動(dòng)量/趨勢(shì)相反。在這種情況下,在走低之后,在關(guān)鍵支撐位形成看漲的 Fakey 買(mǎi)入信號(hào)。由于這個(gè) Fakey 信號(hào)非常好和明顯(定義明確),并且它下方有關(guān)鍵支撐位的匯合點(diǎn),因此它是一個(gè)值得采用的反趨勢(shì) Fakey:
Here’s another example of a counter-trend Fakey pattern. This time it was a bearish Fakey sell signal from a key resistance level. Note the market was clearly pushing higher just prior to the formation of this Fakey. Then, when the Fakey formed, it also false-broke above a key resistance level in the market, adding extra ‘weight’ to the probability of a move lower. We can see the dramatic sell-off that followed this bearish Fakey:
這是另一個(gè)反趨勢(shì) Fakey 模式的例子。這一次是來(lái)自關(guān)鍵阻力位的看跌 Fakey 賣(mài)出信號(hào)。請(qǐng)注意,就在 Fakey 形成之前,市場(chǎng)顯然在走高。然后,當(dāng) Fakey 形成時(shí),它也假突破了市場(chǎng)的關(guān)鍵阻力位,為走低的可能性增加了額外的“權(quán)重”。我們可以看到這個(gè)看跌的 Fakey 之后的戲劇性拋售:
Tips on Trading the Fakey Pattern:
交易 Fakey 模式的提示:
False-breakouts are exactly what they sound like: a breakout that failed to continue beyond a level, resulting in a ‘false’ breakout of that level. False breakout patterns are one of the most important?price action trading patterns?to learn, because a false-break is often a very strong clue that price might be changing direction or that a trend might be resuming soon. A false-break of a level can be thought of as a ‘deception’ by the market, because it looks like price will breakout but then it quickly reverses, deceiving all those who took the ‘bait’ of the breakout. It’s often the case that amateurs will enter what looks like an ‘obvious’ breakout and then the professional’s will push the market back the other way
假突破正是它們聽(tīng)起來(lái)的樣子:未能持續(xù)超過(guò)某個(gè)水平的突破,導(dǎo)致該水平的“假”突破。假突破模式是需要學(xué)習(xí)的最重要的價(jià)格行為交易模式之一,因?yàn)榧偻黄仆ǔJ莾r(jià)格可能正在改變方向或趨勢(shì)可能很快恢復(fù)的非常有力的線索。一個(gè)水平的假突破可以被市場(chǎng)認(rèn)為是“欺騙”,因?yàn)榭雌饋?lái)價(jià)格會(huì)突破,但隨后它會(huì)迅速反轉(zhuǎn),欺騙了所有上了突破“誘餌”的人。通常情況下,業(yè)余愛(ài)好者會(huì)進(jìn)入看起來(lái)“明顯”的突破,然后專(zhuān)業(yè)人士會(huì)將市場(chǎng)推向相反的方向
As a price action trader, you want to learn how to use false breakouts to your advantage, rather than falling victim to them.
作為價(jià)格行為交易者,您想學(xué)習(xí)如何利用虛假突破來(lái)發(fā)揮自己的優(yōu)勢(shì),而不是成為它們的受害者。
Here are two clear examples of false breakouts above and below key levels. Note that false breakouts can take different forms. Sometimes a false break will occur with a?pin bar pattern?or a?fakey pattern?as the false break, and sometime not:
以下是關(guān)鍵水平上方和下方的假突破的兩個(gè)明顯示例。請(qǐng)注意,假突破可以采用不同的形式。有時(shí),pin bar 模式或?fakey 模式會(huì)發(fā)生假中斷作為假中斷,有時(shí)則不會(huì):
A false breakout is essentially a ‘contrarian’ move in the market that ‘flushes’ out those traders who may have entered on emotion, rather than logic and forward thinking.
虛假突破本質(zhì)上是市場(chǎng)上的“逆向”走勢(shì),它“淘汰”了那些可能憑情緒而不是邏輯和前瞻性思維進(jìn)入的交易者。
Generally speaking, a false-break is happens because amateur traders or those with ‘weak hands’ in the market will tend to enter the market only when it ‘feels safe’ to do so. This means, they tend to enter when a market is already quite extended in one direction (and it’s about ready to retrace) or they try to ‘predict’ a breakout from a?key support or resistance level?too early. Professional traders watch for these missteps by the amateurs, and the end result is a very good entry for them with a tight stop loss and huge risk reward potential.
一般來(lái)說(shuō),假突破的發(fā)生是因?yàn)闃I(yè)余交易者或那些在市場(chǎng)上“手弱”的人往往只有在“感覺(jué)安全”的情況下才會(huì)進(jìn)入市場(chǎng)。這意味著,他們傾向于在市場(chǎng)已經(jīng)向一個(gè)方向延伸(并且即將準(zhǔn)備回撤)時(shí)入場(chǎng),或者他們?cè)噲D過(guò)早地“預(yù)測(cè)”從關(guān)鍵支撐位或阻力位突破。專(zhuān)業(yè)交易員會(huì)注意業(yè)余愛(ài)好者的這些失誤,最終結(jié)果對(duì)他們來(lái)說(shuō)是一個(gè)非常好的入場(chǎng)點(diǎn),具有嚴(yán)格的止損和巨大的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)回報(bào)潛力。
It takes discipline and a bit of ‘gut feel’ to know when a false-break is likely to occur, and you can never really know ‘for sure’ until after one has formed. The important thing, is to know what they look like and how to trade them, which we will discuss next…
需要紀(jì)律和一點(diǎn) “直覺(jué) ”才能知道什么時(shí)候可能會(huì)發(fā)生假中斷,而且在假中斷形成之前,你永遠(yuǎn)無(wú)法真正 “確定 ”知道。重要的是了解它們的外觀以及如何交易它們,我們接下來(lái)將討論……
How to trade false breakout patterns
如何交易虛假突破形態(tài)
False breaks occur in all market conditions; trending, consolidating, counter-trend, but perhaps the best way to trade them is in-line with a dominant daily chart trend, like we see in the chart below.
假突破在所有市場(chǎng)條件下都會(huì)發(fā)生;趨勢(shì)、盤(pán)整、逆趨勢(shì),但也許最好的交易方式是與占主導(dǎo)地位的日線圖趨勢(shì)保持一致,就像我們?cè)谙聢D中看到的那樣。
Note, in the chart below, we had a clear downtrend in place and multiple false breakouts to the upside within that trend. When you see a false breakout that is against a dominant trend like this, it’s usually a very good signal that the trend is ready to resume. Amateur traders love to try and pick the bottom in a downtrend or the top in an uptrend, and this can cause false breakouts against the trend like we see below. On each of these false-breaks in the chart below, it was likely that amateur traders thought the downtrend was over and so they started buying, once this buying started the professionals came back in and took advantage of the temporary strength within the down-trending market and entered short from value, and then the downtrend resumed, flushing out all those amateur traders who tried picking the bottom.
請(qǐng)注意,在下圖中,我們有一個(gè)明顯的下降趨勢(shì),并在該趨勢(shì)中多次出現(xiàn)虛假的上行突破。當(dāng)您看到與這樣的主導(dǎo)趨勢(shì)相反的虛假突破時(shí),這通常是一個(gè)非常好的信號(hào),表明趨勢(shì)已準(zhǔn)備好恢復(fù)。業(yè)余交易者喜歡嘗試在下降趨勢(shì)中選擇底部或在上升趨勢(shì)中選擇頂部,這可能會(huì)導(dǎo)致與趨勢(shì)相反的錯(cuò)誤突破,如下所示。在下圖中的每一個(gè)這些錯(cuò)誤突破中,業(yè)余交易者很可能認(rèn)為下降趨勢(shì)已經(jīng)結(jié)束,因此他們開(kāi)始買(mǎi)入,一旦這種購(gòu)買(mǎi)開(kāi)始,專(zhuān)業(yè)人士就會(huì)回來(lái)并利用下降趨勢(shì)中的臨時(shí)力量,從價(jià)值中進(jìn)入空頭,然后下降趨勢(shì)恢復(fù),淘汰了所有試圖選擇底部的業(yè)余交易者。
The chart below shows examples of false breakouts within a down-trending market. Note that each one led to a resumption of the trend…
下圖顯示了下跌趨勢(shì)市場(chǎng)中的假突破示例。請(qǐng)注意,每一次都導(dǎo)致了趨勢(shì)的恢復(fù)……
False-breaks are prevalent in trading ranges because traders often try to pick the breakout of the range but usually price stays range-bound for longer than most assume. Knowing that false-breaks are somewhat common when a market is struck in a trading range is a very valuable piece of information for a price action trader.
假突破在交易區(qū)間內(nèi)很普遍,因?yàn)榻灰讍T經(jīng)常試圖選擇突破區(qū)間,但通常價(jià)格在區(qū)間內(nèi)波動(dòng)的時(shí)間比大多數(shù)人假設(shè)的要長(zhǎng)。知道當(dāng)市場(chǎng)在交易區(qū)間內(nèi)被觸發(fā)時(shí),假突破有些常見(jiàn),這對(duì)價(jià)格行為交易者來(lái)說(shuō)是一個(gè)非常有價(jià)值的信息。
Trading a range-bound market can be very lucrative as you can wait for price action signals at the support or resistance boundary of the range to trade back toward the other side of the range.
在區(qū)間震蕩的市場(chǎng)進(jìn)行交易可能非常有利可圖,因?yàn)槟梢缘却齾^(qū)間支撐或阻力邊界的價(jià)格行動(dòng)信號(hào),然后交易回區(qū)間的另一側(cè)。
The best way to be sure you don’t get caught in a false-breakout from a trading range is to simply wait for price to close outside of the range for two days or more. If this happens, there’s a good chance the range is finished and price is then going to start trending again.
確保您不會(huì)陷入交易區(qū)間錯(cuò)誤突破的最佳方法是等待價(jià)格收盤(pán)價(jià)超出區(qū)間兩天或更長(zhǎng)時(shí)間。如果發(fā)生這種情況,則很有可能該范圍已完成,然后價(jià)格將再次開(kāi)始趨勢(shì)。
In the chart below, we can see how a price action trader can use a?false breakout?pin bar signal to trade a false breakout of a trading range. Note the false break pin bar at the trading range key resistance, and also note the two false-breaks at the trading range’s support. More experienced traders can also trade false breakouts that don’t contain a price action trigger like a pin bar. The two false-breaks of support in the chart below were both potential buy signals for a savvy price action trader…
在下圖中,我們可以看到價(jià)格行為交易者如何使用虛假的突破?pin bar 信號(hào)來(lái)交易交易區(qū)間的虛假突破。請(qǐng)注意交易區(qū)間關(guān)鍵阻力位處的假突破 pin 條,并注意交易區(qū)間支撐處的兩個(gè)假突破。更有經(jīng)驗(yàn)的交易者也可以交易不包含價(jià)格行為觸發(fā)器(如針桿)的虛假突破。下圖中的兩個(gè)虛假支撐突破都是精明的價(jià)格行為交易者的潛在買(mǎi)入信號(hào)……
False breakout patterns can sometimes signal the beginning of a new trend, and the end of the current one.
虛假的突破形態(tài)有時(shí)可能預(yù)示著新趨勢(shì)的開(kāi)始和當(dāng)前趨勢(shì)的結(jié)束。
In the chart example below, we can see a key resistance level that held price on two tests, then on the third test, price created a large false-break pin bar strategy that signaled a potential down move was coming.
在下面的圖表示例中,我們可以看到一個(gè)關(guān)鍵阻力位,該阻力位在兩次測(cè)試中保持價(jià)格,然后在第三次測(cè)試中,價(jià)格創(chuàng)建了一個(gè)大型假突破 pin bar 策略,表明潛在的下跌趨勢(shì)即將到來(lái)。
As we can see in this chart, not only did the false breakout signal a down move, but it kicked off an entire downtrend…
正如我們?cè)谶@張圖表中看到的,虛假突破不僅預(yù)示著下跌,而且還拉開(kāi)了整個(gè)下跌趨勢(shì)的序幕……
False Breakout Pattern Trading Tips
假突破模式交易技巧
An “inside bar” pattern is a two-bar?price action trading?strategy in which the inside bar is smaller and within the high to low range of the prior bar, i.e. the high is lower than the previous bar’s high, and the low is higher than the previous bar’s low. Its relative position can be at the top, the middle or the bottom of the prior bar.
“內(nèi)線”形態(tài)是一種兩根柱線的價(jià)格行為交易策略,其中內(nèi)線柱線較小,并且在前一根柱線的高到低范圍內(nèi),即最高價(jià)低于前一根柱線的高點(diǎn),最低價(jià)高于前一根柱線的低點(diǎn)。它的相對(duì)位置可以在前一根柱的頂部、中間或底部。
The prior bar, the bar before the inside bar, is often referred to as the “mother bar”. You will sometimes see an inside bar referred to as an “ib” and its mother bar referred to as an “mb”.
前一根柱,即內(nèi)側(cè)柱之前的柱,通常被稱(chēng)為 “mother bar”。您有時(shí)會(huì)看到一個(gè)內(nèi)線稱(chēng)為 “ib” ,其母線稱(chēng)為 “mb”。
Some traders use a more lenient definition of an inside bar that allows for the highs of the inside bar and the mother bar to be equal, or for the lows of both bars to be equal. However, if you have two bars with the same high and low, it’s generally not considered an inside bar by most traders.
一些交易者對(duì)內(nèi)線柱線使用更寬松的定義,允許內(nèi)線柱線和母柱線的高點(diǎn)相等,或者兩個(gè)柱線的最低價(jià)相等。但是,如果您有兩個(gè)最高價(jià)和最低價(jià)相同的柱線,則大多數(shù)交易者通常不會(huì)將其視為內(nèi)線。
Inside bars show a period of consolidation in a market. A daily chart inside bar will look like a ‘triangle’ on a 1 hour or 30 minute chart time frame. They often form following a strong move in a market, as it ‘pauses’ to consolidate before making its next move. However, they can also form at market turning points and act as reversal signals from key support or resistance levels.
內(nèi)條顯示市場(chǎng)盤(pán)整期。日線圖內(nèi)的條形圖在 1 小時(shí)或 30 分鐘圖表時(shí)間范圍內(nèi)看起來(lái)像一個(gè)“三角形”。它們通常是在市場(chǎng)強(qiáng)勁波動(dòng)后形成的,因?yàn)槭袌?chǎng)在采取下一步行動(dòng)之前會(huì)“暫?!边M(jìn)行盤(pán)整。然而,它們也可以在市場(chǎng)轉(zhuǎn)折點(diǎn)形成,并充當(dāng)關(guān)鍵支撐位或阻力位的反轉(zhuǎn)信號(hào)。
How to Trade with Inside Bars
如何使用 Inside Bars 進(jìn)行交易
Inside bars can be traded in trending markets in the direction of the trend, when traded this way they are typically referred to as a ‘breakout play’ or an inside bar price action breakout pattern They can also be traded counter-trend, typically from key chart levels, when traded this way they are often referred to as inside bar reversals.
內(nèi)線柱線可以在趨勢(shì)市場(chǎng)中沿趨勢(shì)方向進(jìn)行交易,當(dāng)以這種方式交易時(shí),它們通常被稱(chēng)為“突破游戲”或內(nèi)線柱線價(jià)格行為突破模式它們也可以逆勢(shì)交易,通常從關(guān)鍵圖表水平進(jìn)行交易,當(dāng)以這種方式交易時(shí),它們通常被稱(chēng)為內(nèi)線反轉(zhuǎn)。
The classic entry for an inside bar signal is to place a buy stop or sell stop at the high or low of the mother bar, and then when price breakouts above or below the mother bar, your entry order is filled.
內(nèi)線柱線信號(hào)的經(jīng)典入場(chǎng)是在母柱線的高點(diǎn)或低點(diǎn)設(shè)置買(mǎi)入止損或賣(mài)出止損,然后當(dāng)價(jià)格突破母柱線上方或下方時(shí),您的掛單被執(zhí)行。
Stop loss placement is typically at the opposite end of the mother bar, or it can be placed near the mother bar halfway point (50% level), typically if the mother bar is larger than average.
止損設(shè)置通常位于母柱的另一端,或者可以放置在母柱的中點(diǎn)附近(50% 水平),通常是如果母柱大于平均值。
It’s worth noting that these are the ‘classic’ or standard entry and stop loss placements for an inside bar setup, in the end, experienced traders may decide on other entries or stop loss placements as they see fit.
值得注意的是,這些是內(nèi)線設(shè)置的“經(jīng)典”或標(biāo)準(zhǔn)入場(chǎng)和止損設(shè)置,最后,經(jīng)驗(yàn)豐富的交易者可能會(huì)決定他們認(rèn)為合適的其他入場(chǎng)或止損設(shè)置。
Let’s take a look at some examples of trading with the?inside bar strategy:
讓我們看一下使用內(nèi)線柱策略進(jìn)行交易的一些示例:
Trading Inside Bars in a Trending Market
在趨勢(shì)市場(chǎng)中進(jìn)行柱內(nèi)交易
In the example below, we can see what it looks like to trade an inside bar pattern in-line with a trending market. In this case, it was a down-trending market, so the inside bar pattern would be called an ‘inside bar sell signal’:
在下面的示例中,我們可以看到與趨勢(shì)市場(chǎng)一致的內(nèi)線柱線形態(tài)交易是什么樣子。在這種情況下,這是一個(gè)下降趨勢(shì)的市場(chǎng),因此內(nèi)線柱線形態(tài)將被稱(chēng)為 “內(nèi)線柱線賣(mài)出信號(hào)”:
Here’s another example of trading an inside bar with a trending market. In this case, the market was trending higher, so the inside bars would be referred to as ‘inside bar buy signals’. Note, often in strong trends like the one in the example below, you will see multiple inside bar patterns forming, providing you with multiple high-probability entries into the trend:
這是另一個(gè)在趨勢(shì)市場(chǎng)中交易內(nèi)線的例子。在這種情況下,市場(chǎng)呈走高趨勢(shì),因此內(nèi)線柱線將被稱(chēng)為“內(nèi)線柱線買(mǎi)入信號(hào)”。請(qǐng)注意,通常在像下面例子中的強(qiáng)勢(shì)趨勢(shì)中,您會(huì)看到多個(gè)內(nèi)線柱線形態(tài)的形成,為您提供多個(gè)高概率的趨勢(shì)入場(chǎng):
Trading Inside Bars against the Trend, From Key Chart Levels
逆勢(shì)在柱內(nèi)交易,從關(guān)鍵圖表水平
In the example below, we are looking at trading an inside bar pattern against the dominant daily chart trend. In this case, price had come back down to test a key support level , formed a pin bar reversal at that support, followed by an inside bar reversal. Note the strong push higher that unfolded following this inside bar setup.
在下面的示例中,我們正在研究與占主導(dǎo)地位的日線圖趨勢(shì)相反的交易內(nèi)線柱線形態(tài)。在這種情況下,價(jià)格回落以測(cè)試關(guān)鍵支撐位,在該支撐位形成針柱反轉(zhuǎn),然后是內(nèi)柱反轉(zhuǎn)。請(qǐng)注意在這種內(nèi)線柱設(shè)置之后展開(kāi)的強(qiáng)勁推高。
Here’s another example of trading an inside bar against the recent trend / momentum and from a key chart level. In this case, we were trading an inside bar reversal signal from a key level of resistance. Also, note that the inside bar sell signal in the example below actually had two bars within the same mother bar, this is perfectly fine and is something you will see sometimes on the charts.
這是另一個(gè)與近期趨勢(shì)/動(dòng)量相反并從關(guān)鍵圖表級(jí)別交易內(nèi)線的例子。在這種情況下,我們交易的是來(lái)自關(guān)鍵阻力位的內(nèi)線反轉(zhuǎn)信號(hào)。另外,請(qǐng)注意,下面示例中的內(nèi)線柱線賣(mài)出信號(hào)實(shí)際上在同一個(gè)母柱內(nèi)有兩個(gè)柱線,這很好,您有時(shí)會(huì)在圖表上看到。
Trading inside bars from key levels of support or resistance can be very lucrative as they often lead to large moves in the opposite direction, as we can see in the chart below…
從關(guān)鍵支撐位或阻力位的柱內(nèi)交易可能非常有利可圖,因?yàn)樗鼈兺ǔ?huì)導(dǎo)致相反方向的大幅波動(dòng),如下圖所示……
Tips on Trading the Inside Bar Pattern
交易內(nèi)線柱線形態(tài)的提示
A pin bar is a price action strategy that shows rejection of price and indicates a potential reversal is imminent. An inside bar is a price action strategy that shows consolidation and that a potential breakout is imminent. These two signals, when combined, result in either a ‘pin bar combo’ pattern or an ‘inside bar – pin bar combo’ pattern.
pin bar 是一種價(jià)格行為策略,它表明拒絕價(jià)格并表明潛在的反轉(zhuǎn)即將到來(lái)。內(nèi)線柱線是一種價(jià)格行為策略,顯示盤(pán)整并且潛在的突破迫在眉睫。這兩個(gè)信號(hào)結(jié)合在一起時(shí),會(huì)產(chǎn)生 ‘pin bar combo’ 模式或 ‘inside bar – pin bar combo’ 模式。
Pin bar and inside bar combination patterns are some of the most potent?price action?signals you will encounter. There are two main ‘combo patterns’ you should focus on learning.
Pin bar 和 Inside Bar 組合模式是您將遇到的一些最有效的價(jià)格行為信號(hào)。您應(yīng)該專(zhuān)注于學(xué)習(xí)兩種主要的 “組合模式”。
1) The pin bar + inside bar combo, consists of a pin bar that consumes a small inside bar toward the nose of the pin (the pin bar’s real body).
1) 針桿 + 內(nèi)桿組合,由一根針桿組成,該針桿朝向針桿的鼻子(針桿的真實(shí)主體)消耗一個(gè)小的內(nèi)桿。
2) The inside pin bar combo setup is simply a pin bar that’s also an inside bar. In other words, a pin bar that’s within the range of an outside bar or mother bar.
2) 內(nèi)針桿組合設(shè)置只是一個(gè)針桿,也是一個(gè)內(nèi)桿。換句話說(shuō),位于 outside bar 或 mother bar 范圍內(nèi)的 pin bar。
How to Trade the Pin Bar + Inside Bar combo pattern
如何交易 Pin Bar + Inside Bar 組合形態(tài)
When looking for pin bar inside bar combo patterns, you will first be looking for just a pin bar, if you see a pin bar immediately followed by an inside bar that’s contained within the high-to-low range of the pin bar, then you have a pin bar + inside bar combo pattern. As mentioned above, it’s ideal of the inside bar forms near the pin bar’s nose (real body).
在尋找 pin bar 內(nèi)條組合模式時(shí),您首先會(huì)尋找一個(gè) pin bar,如果您看到一個(gè) pin bar 緊隨其后,然后是一個(gè)包含在 pin bar 的高到低范圍內(nèi)的內(nèi)條,那么您就有一個(gè) pin bar + 內(nèi)條組合模式。如上所述,理想的內(nèi)條形式靠近 pin bar 的鼻子(真實(shí)實(shí)體)。
Of the two combo patterns discussed in this tutorial, the pin bar + inside bar combo is the most powerful and it’s an ideal setup to trade on the daily chart either from pullbacks to key levels or as breakout plays in trending markets on the 4 hour or daily charts.
在本教程討論的兩種組合模式中,pin bar + inside bar 組合是最強(qiáng)大的,它是在日線圖上進(jìn)行交易的理想設(shè)置,無(wú)論是從回調(diào)到關(guān)鍵水平,還是在 4 小時(shí)圖或日線圖上的趨勢(shì)市場(chǎng)中作為突破。
Let’s take a look at some examples:
讓我們看一些例子:
In the chart example below, we can see a nice example of a pin bar inside bar combo pattern that formed following a pullback to a support level in an upward trending market. These types of combo patterns are very powerful because they give you the chance to get a better entry on the pin bar (near its 50% level) and allows you to get a ‘tight’ stop loss either below the inside bar low or below the?key support level. When you see a pin bar followed by an?inside bar?or even multiple?inside bars?like we see in the example below, it’s time to take notice because you might have a potential trade entry on your hands…
在下面的圖表示例中,我們可以看到一個(gè)很好的例子,即在上升趨勢(shì)市場(chǎng)中回調(diào)至支撐位后形成的 pin bar inside bar 組合模式。這些類(lèi)型的組合模式非常強(qiáng)大,因?yàn)樗鼈冏屇袡C(jī)會(huì)在夾桿上獲得更好的入場(chǎng)(接近其 50% 水平),并允許您在內(nèi)線低點(diǎn)下方或關(guān)鍵支撐位下方獲得“緊密”止損。當(dāng)您看到一個(gè) pin bar 后跟一個(gè)內(nèi)線,甚至多個(gè)內(nèi)線,就像我們?cè)谙旅娴睦又锌吹降哪菢?,是時(shí)候注意了,因?yàn)槟赡苁诸^有一個(gè)潛在的交易條目……
Here’s another example of the pin bar and inside bar combo pattern. This time, it’s more of a reversal pattern because it formed at a resistance level, causing a false break of that resistance level and then set off a move to the downside. This combo pattern again allowed a trader to get a ‘tight’ entry by entering as the inside bar retraced up the pin bar’s tail, the stop loss could have been placed just above the resistance level or near the pin bar’s high. We can see a dramatic sell-off unfolded as price broke down below the inside bar.
這是 pin bar 和 inside bar 組合模式的另一個(gè)示例。這一次,它更像是一種反轉(zhuǎn)模式,因?yàn)樗纬捎谧枇ξ唬瑢?dǎo)致該阻力位的假突破,然后引發(fā)下行走勢(shì)。這種組合模式再次允許交易者在內(nèi)線柱線尾部回撤時(shí)入場(chǎng),從而獲得“緊”入場(chǎng),止損可能位于阻力位上方或靠近針桿高點(diǎn)的位置。當(dāng)價(jià)格跌破內(nèi)線柱時(shí),我們可以看到一場(chǎng)戲劇性的拋售。
How to Trade the Inside-Pin Bar combo pattern
如何交易 Inside-Pin Bar 組合形態(tài)
Inside pin bars are exactly what their name suggests; pin bars that are also inside bars. These setups seem to work best in trending markets and on the daily chart time frames.
Inside pin bars 正是他們的名字所暗示的;同樣位于條內(nèi)的 pin 條。這些設(shè)置似乎在趨勢(shì)市場(chǎng)和日線圖時(shí)間框架上效果最好。
In the example below, we can see a strong uptrend was in place prior to the formation of the?inside pin bar combo pattern. We can then see price broke out above the high of the?mother bar?and this would have been the entry point into the trend. Traders can place a ‘buy on stop’ entry just above the mother bar high on an inside-pin bar combo setup like this one. Then as price breaks out in-line with the trend, you are brought into the trade in-line with the current market momentum…
在下面的示例中,我們可以看到在形成內(nèi)針桿組合形態(tài)之前,已經(jīng)存在強(qiáng)勁的上升趨勢(shì)。然后我們可以看到價(jià)格突破了母柱線的高點(diǎn),這將是趨勢(shì)的切入點(diǎn)。交易者可以在像這樣的內(nèi)針柱組合設(shè)置的母柱上方放置一個(gè)“止損買(mǎi)入”條目。然后,當(dāng)價(jià)格與趨勢(shì)一致時(shí),您將根據(jù)當(dāng)前的市場(chǎng)勢(shì)頭進(jìn)行交易……
The chart below shows us another example of a good inside-pin bar combo pattern. This time, the trend was down or ‘bearish’, and as price consolidated for several days it ended up forming the bearish inside-pin bar sell signal that we see in the chart below. Inside pin bar combos work very good as ‘continuation patterns’ in trending markets, a continuation pattern is simply a pattern that implies the trend will continue moving in its existing direction. Note, the aggressive sell-off that took place once price broke down below this inside-pin bar’s mother bar…
下圖向我們展示了另一個(gè)良好的內(nèi)針柱組合模式的例子。這一次,趨勢(shì)是下跌或“看跌”的,隨著價(jià)格盤(pán)整幾天,它最終形成了看跌的內(nèi)針柱形賣(mài)出信號(hào),如下圖所示。Inside pin bar 組合在趨勢(shì)市場(chǎng)中作為“延續(xù)模式”效果非常好,延續(xù)模式只是一種暗示趨勢(shì)將繼續(xù)沿其現(xiàn)有方向移動(dòng)的模式。請(qǐng)注意,一旦價(jià)格跌破該內(nèi)針柱的母柱,就會(huì)發(fā)生激進(jìn)的拋售……
Pin bar and Inside bar Combo Pattern Trading Tips
pin bar 和 Inside bar 組合模式交易技巧
A pin bar pattern consists of one price bar, typically a candlestick price bar, which represents a sharp reversal and rejection of price. The pin bar reversal as it is sometimes called, is defined by a long tail, the tail is also referred to as a “shadow” or “wick”. The area between the open and close of the pin bar is called its “real body”, and pin bars generally have small real bodies in comparison to their long tails.
pin bar 模式由一個(gè)價(jià)格柱線組成,通常是 K 線價(jià)格柱線,它代表價(jià)格的急劇反轉(zhuǎn)和拒絕。有時(shí)被稱(chēng)為針桿反轉(zhuǎn),由長(zhǎng)尾巴定義,尾巴也稱(chēng)為“陰影”或“燈芯”。針桿的開(kāi)合區(qū)域稱(chēng)為其“真實(shí)體”,與它們的長(zhǎng)尾相比,針桿通常具有較小的真實(shí)體。
The tail of the pin bar shows the area of price that was rejected, and the implication is that price will continue to move opposite to the direction the tail points. Thus, a bearish pin bar signal is one that has a long upper tail, showing rejection of higher prices with the implication that price will fall in the near-term. A bullish pin bar signal has a long lower tail, showing rejection of lower prices with the implication that price will rise in the near-term.
pin bar 的尾部顯示被拒絕的價(jià)格區(qū)域,這意味著價(jià)格將繼續(xù)與尾部指向的方向相反。因此,看跌 pin bar 信號(hào)是一個(gè)具有長(zhǎng)上尾的信號(hào),表明拒絕更高的價(jià)格,暗示價(jià)格將在短期內(nèi)下跌??礉q的 pin bar 信號(hào)有一個(gè)長(zhǎng)長(zhǎng)的下尾,表明拒絕較低的價(jià)格,暗示價(jià)格將在短期內(nèi)上漲。
How to Trade with Pin Bars
如何使用 Pin Bars 進(jìn)行交易
When trading pin bars, there are a few different entry options for traders. The first, and perhaps most popular, is entering the pin bar trade “at market”. That simply means you enter the trade at the current market price.
在交易 pin bar 時(shí),交易者有幾種不同的入場(chǎng)選項(xiàng)。第一個(gè),也許也是最受歡迎的,是“在市場(chǎng)上”進(jìn)入 pin bar 交易。這僅僅意味著您以當(dāng)前市場(chǎng)價(jià)格進(jìn)行交易。
Note: the pin bar pattern must be closed out before entering the market based on it. Until the bar is closed as a pin bar pattern, it’s not really a pin bar yet.
注意:在根據(jù)它進(jìn)入市場(chǎng)之前,必須將 pin bar 模式平倉(cāng)。在柱線作為 pin bar 模式關(guān)閉之前,它還不是真正的 pin bar。
Another entry option for a?pin bar trading signal, is entering on a 50% retrace of the pin bar. In other words, you would wait for price to retrace to about the halfway point of the entire pin bar’s range from high to low, or its “50% level”, where you would have already placed a limit entry order.
pin bar 交易信號(hào)的另一個(gè)入場(chǎng)選項(xiàng)是在 pin bar 的 50% 回撤處入場(chǎng)。換句話說(shuō),您將等待價(jià)格回撤到整個(gè) pin bar 范圍從高到低的中點(diǎn)左右,或其“50% 水平”,您已經(jīng)在該水平下達(dá)了限價(jià)掛單。
A trader can also enter a pin bar signal by using an “on-stop” entry, placed just below the low or above the high of the pin bar.
交易者還可以使用 “on-stop” 入場(chǎng)來(lái)輸入針柱信號(hào),該輸入位于針柱的低點(diǎn)下方或高于 pin bar 的高點(diǎn)。
Here’s an example of what the various pin bar entry options might look like:
以下是各種 pin bar entry 選項(xiàng)的示例:
Trading Pin Bar Signals in a Trending Market
在趨勢(shì)市場(chǎng)中交易 Pin Bar 信號(hào)
Trading with the trend is arguably the best way to trade any market. A pin bar entry signal, in a trending market, can offer a very high-probability entry and a good risk to reward scenario.
順勢(shì)交易可以說(shuō)是交易任何市場(chǎng)的最佳方式。在趨勢(shì)市場(chǎng)中,pin bar 入場(chǎng)信號(hào)可以提供非常高的入場(chǎng)概率和良好的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)回報(bào)情景。
In the example below, we can see a bullish pin bar signal that formed in the context of an up-trending market. This type of pin bar shows rejection of lower prices (note the long lower tail), so it’s called a “bullish pin bar” since the implication of the rejection reflected in the pin bar is that the bulls will resume pushing price higher…
在下面的示例中,我們可以看到在上升趨勢(shì)市場(chǎng)背景下形成的看漲 pin bar 信號(hào)。這種類(lèi)型的 pin bar 表示拒絕較低的價(jià)格(注意長(zhǎng)長(zhǎng)的低尾),因此它被稱(chēng)為“看漲 pin bar”,因?yàn)?pin bar 中反映的拒絕意味著多頭將繼續(xù)推高價(jià)格……
Trading Pin Bars against the Trend, From Key Chart Levels
從關(guān)鍵圖表水平逆勢(shì)交易 Pin Bars
When trading a pin bar counter to, or against a dominant trend, it’s widely accepted that a trader should do so from a key chart level of support or resistance. The key level adds extra ‘weight’ to the pin bar pattern, just as it does with counter-trend?inside bar patterns. Any time you see a point in the market where price initiated a significant move either up or down, that is a key level to watch for?pin bar reversals.
當(dāng)交易 pin bar 逆主流趨勢(shì)或逆主流趨勢(shì)時(shí),人們普遍認(rèn)為交易者應(yīng)該從關(guān)鍵圖表的支撐或阻力位進(jìn)行交易。關(guān)鍵級(jí)別為 pin bar 模式增加了額外的 “權(quán)重”,就像它與逆勢(shì)的內(nèi)線 bar 模式一樣。任何時(shí)候您在市場(chǎng)中看到價(jià)格開(kāi)始大幅上漲或下跌的某個(gè)點(diǎn),這就是觀察?pin bar 反轉(zhuǎn)的關(guān)鍵水平。
Pin bar Combo Patterns Pin bar 組合模式
Pin bars can also be traded in combination with other?price action patterns. In the chart below, we can see an?inside pin bar combo pattern. This is a pattern in which the inside bar is also a pin bar pattern. These?inside pin bar signals?work best in trending markets like we see below…
Pin bars 也可以與其他價(jià)格行為模式一起交易。在下圖中,我們可以看到一個(gè)內(nèi)針柱組合模式。在這種模式中,內(nèi)線也是 pin bar 模式。這些內(nèi)線 pin bar 信號(hào)在趨勢(shì)市場(chǎng)中效果最佳,如下所示……
The pattern in the chart below could be considered the ‘opposite’ of the inside-pin bar, it’s an inside bar inside a pin bar signal. It’s relatively common to see an inside bar form within the range of a pin bar pattern. Often, a large breakout move will follow an inside bar formed within a pin bar’s range, for this reason, the?pin bar + inside bar combo setup?is a very potent?price action trading?pattern, as we can see in the chart below…
下圖中的模式可以被認(rèn)為是內(nèi)針柱的 “相反”,它是針柱信號(hào)內(nèi)的內(nèi)線。在 pin bar 模式范圍內(nèi)看到內(nèi)條形是相對(duì)常見(jiàn)的。通常,在針桿范圍內(nèi)形成的內(nèi)線之后會(huì)有一個(gè)大的突破走勢(shì),因此,針桿 + 內(nèi)線柱組合設(shè)置是一種非常有效的價(jià)格行為交易模式,如下圖所示……
Double Pin Bar Patterns 雙銷(xiāo)桿模式
It is not uncommon to see back-to-back or “double pin bar patterns” from at key levels in the market. These patterns are traded just like a normal pin bar, except they provide a trader with a little more ‘confirmation’ since they reflect two consecutive rejections of a level…
從市場(chǎng)的關(guān)鍵水平看到背靠背或“雙針柱線模式”的情況并不少見(jiàn)。這些模式的交易方式就像普通的 pin bar 一樣,不同之處在于它們?yōu)榻灰渍咛峁┝烁嗟摹按_認(rèn)”,因?yàn)樗鼈兎从沉藢?duì)某個(gè)水平的連續(xù)兩次拒絕……
Pin Bar Trading Tips Pin Bar 交易技巧
Support and resistance levels are horizontal price levels that typically connect price bar highs to other price bar highs or lows to lows, forming horizontal levels on a price chart.
支撐位和阻力位是水平價(jià)格水平,通常將價(jià)格條高點(diǎn)與其他價(jià)格條高點(diǎn)或低點(diǎn)與低點(diǎn)連接起來(lái),在價(jià)格圖表上形成水平水平。
A support or resistance level is formed when a market’s?price action?reverses and changes direction, leaving behind a peak or trough (swing point) in the market. Support and resistance levels can carve out trading ranges like we see in the chart below and they also can be seen in trending markets as a market retraces and leaves behind swing points.
當(dāng)市場(chǎng)的價(jià)格行為反轉(zhuǎn)并改變方向,在市場(chǎng)上留下峰值或低谷(波動(dòng)點(diǎn))時(shí),就會(huì)形成支撐位或阻力位?。支撐位和阻力位可以劃定交易區(qū)間,如下圖所示,它們也可以在趨勢(shì)市場(chǎng)中看到,因?yàn)槭袌?chǎng)回撤并留下擺動(dòng)點(diǎn)。
Price will often respect these support and resistance levels, in other words, they tend to contain price movement, until of course price breaks through them.
價(jià)格通常會(huì)尊重這些支撐位和阻力位,換句話說(shuō),它們往往會(huì)遏制價(jià)格波動(dòng),直到價(jià)格當(dāng)然突破它們。
In the chart below, we see an example of support and resistance levels containing price within a trading range. A trading range is simply an area of price contained between parallel support and resistance levels like we see below (price oscillates between the support and resistance levels in a trading range).
在下圖中,我們看到一個(gè)支撐位和阻力位的示例,其中包含交易區(qū)間內(nèi)的價(jià)格。交易區(qū)間只是包含在平行支撐位和阻力位之間的一個(gè)價(jià)格區(qū)域,如下所示(價(jià)格在交易區(qū)間內(nèi)的支撐位和阻力位之間波動(dòng))。
Note that in the chart below, price eventually broke up and out of the trading range, moving above the resistance level, then when it came back down and tested the old resistance level, it then held price and acted as support…
請(qǐng)注意,在下圖中,價(jià)格最終跌破并走出交易區(qū)間,移動(dòng)到阻力位上方,然后當(dāng)它回落并測(cè)試舊的阻力位時(shí),它隨后守住價(jià)格并充當(dāng)支撐位……
The other primary way support and resistance levels are created in a market, is from swing points in a trend.
在市場(chǎng)上創(chuàng)建支撐位和阻力位的另一種主要方式是從趨勢(shì)中的擺動(dòng)點(diǎn)開(kāi)始。
As a market trends, it retraces back on the trend and this retracement leaves a ‘swing point’ in the market, which in an uptrend looks like a peak and a downtrend looks like a trough.
隨著市場(chǎng)趨勢(shì),它會(huì)沿著趨勢(shì)回撤,這種回撤在市場(chǎng)上留下一個(gè)“擺動(dòng)點(diǎn)”,在上升趨勢(shì)中看起來(lái)像一個(gè)峰值,而下降趨勢(shì)看起來(lái)像一個(gè)低谷。
In an uptrend, the old peaks will tend to act as support after price breaks up past them and then retraces back down to test them. In a downtrend, the opposite is true; the old troughs will tend to act as resistance after price breaks down through them and then retraces back up to test them.
在上升趨勢(shì)中,舊峰值在價(jià)格突破后往往會(huì)充當(dāng)支撐,然后回撤以測(cè)試它們。在下降趨勢(shì)中,情況恰恰相反;舊低谷在價(jià)格跌破后往往會(huì)充當(dāng)阻力位,然后回撤以測(cè)試它們。
Here’s an example of a market testing previous swing points (support) in a downtrend, note that as the market comes back to test the old support, the level then behaves as ‘new’ resistance and will very often hold price. It’s wise to look for an entry point into a trend as it comes back and tests these previous swing points (see pin bar sell signal in chart below), because it’s at these levels that the trend is most likely to resume, creating a low-risk / high-reward potential:
這是一個(gè)市場(chǎng)在下降趨勢(shì)中測(cè)試先前擺動(dòng)點(diǎn)(支撐位)的示例,請(qǐng)注意,當(dāng)市場(chǎng)回來(lái)測(cè)試舊支撐位時(shí),該水平表現(xiàn)為“新”阻力位,并且通常會(huì)保持價(jià)格。明智的做法是在趨勢(shì)回歸時(shí)尋找進(jìn)入趨勢(shì)的切入點(diǎn)并測(cè)試之前的擺動(dòng)點(diǎn)(參見(jiàn)下圖中的柱線賣(mài)出信號(hào)),因?yàn)檎窃谶@些水平上,趨勢(shì)最有可能恢復(fù),從而產(chǎn)生低風(fēng)險(xiǎn)/高回報(bào)的潛力:
How to trade price action signals from support and resistance levels
如何從支撐位和阻力位交易價(jià)格行動(dòng)信號(hào)
Support and resistance levels are a price action trader’s ‘best friend’. When a price action entry signal forms at a?key level of support or resistance, it can be a high-probability entry scenario. The key level gives you a ‘barrier’ to place your stop loss beyond and since it has a strong chance of being a turning point in the market, there’s usually a good?risk reward ratio?formed at key levels of support and resistance in a market.
支撐位和阻力位是價(jià)格行為交易者的“最好的朋友”。當(dāng)價(jià)格行為入場(chǎng)信號(hào)在支撐位或阻力位的關(guān)鍵水平形成時(shí),這可能是一個(gè)高概率的入場(chǎng)場(chǎng)景。關(guān)鍵水平為您提供了一個(gè)“障礙”,可以設(shè)置您的止損,并且由于它很有可能成為市場(chǎng)的轉(zhuǎn)折點(diǎn),因此通常在市場(chǎng)的支撐和阻力關(guān)鍵水平上形成良好的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)回報(bào)率。
The price action entry signal, such as a?pin bar signal?or other, provides us with some ‘confirmation’ that price may indeed move away from the key level of support or resistance.
價(jià)格行為入場(chǎng)信號(hào),例如針桿信號(hào)或其他信號(hào),為我們提供了一些“確認(rèn)”,即價(jià)格確實(shí)可能遠(yuǎn)離關(guān)鍵支撐位或阻力位。
In the example chart below, we see a key level of resistance and a bearish?fakey strategy?that formed at it. Since this fakey showed such aggressive reversal and a false-break of the key resistance, there was a high-probability that price would continue lower following the signal…
在下面的示例圖表中,我們看到了一個(gè)關(guān)鍵的阻力位和一個(gè)在其上形成的看跌?fakey 策略。由于這個(gè)騙局顯示了如此激進(jìn)的反轉(zhuǎn)和關(guān)鍵阻力位的假突破,因此價(jià)格很有可能在信號(hào)發(fā)出后繼續(xù)走低……
The next example chart shows us how to trade price action from a support level in an uptrend. Note that once we got a clear pin bar buy signal, actually two pin bar signals in this case, the uptrend was ready to resume and pushed significantly higher from the key support level.
下一個(gè)示例圖表向我們展示了如何在上升趨勢(shì)中從支撐位交易價(jià)格走勢(shì)。請(qǐng)注意,一旦我們獲得明確的 pin bar 買(mǎi)入信號(hào),在本例中實(shí)際上是兩個(gè) pin bar 信號(hào),上升趨勢(shì)就準(zhǔn)備好恢復(fù)并從關(guān)鍵支撐位顯著推高。
The next chart example show us how sometimes in trending markets a previous swing level will act as a new support or resistance level and provide a good level to focus our attention on for price action entry signals.
下一個(gè)圖表示例向我們展示了在趨勢(shì)市場(chǎng)中,前一個(gè)擺動(dòng)水平有時(shí)如何充當(dāng)新的支撐位或阻力位,并為我們將注意力集中在價(jià)格行為入場(chǎng)信號(hào)上的良好水平。
In this case, the trend was up and a previous swing high in the uptrend eventually ‘flipped’ into a support level after price broke up above it. We can see that when price came back to retest that level the second time, it formed a nice pin bar entry signal to buy the market and re-enter the uptrend from a confluent level in the market.
在這種情況下,趨勢(shì)是上升的,并且在價(jià)格跌破后,上升趨勢(shì)中的先前擺動(dòng)高點(diǎn)最終“翻轉(zhuǎn)”為支撐位。我們可以看到,當(dāng)價(jià)格第二次返回重新測(cè)試該水平時(shí),它形成了一個(gè)很好的 pin bar 入場(chǎng)信號(hào),買(mǎi)入市場(chǎng)并從市場(chǎng)的匯合水平重新進(jìn)入上升趨勢(shì)。
Finally, the last chart we are looking at is an interesting one. Note the swing low that occurred in the down trend on the left side of the chart. You can see how this level stayed relevant months later, even after the trend changed from down to up. It first acted as a resistance level after price broke down through it, but once that resistance was broken, we had an uptrend form and then after that, that same level acted as support, and that’s where we see the?fakey pin bar combo signal?in the chart below:
最后,我們正在查看的最后一張圖表是一個(gè)有趣的圖表。請(qǐng)注意圖表左側(cè)下降趨勢(shì)中出現(xiàn)的擺動(dòng)低點(diǎn)。您可以看到該水平在幾個(gè)月后如何保持相關(guān)性,即使在趨勢(shì)從下降變?yōu)樯仙笠彩侨绱?。在價(jià)格跌破后,它首先充當(dāng)阻力位,但一旦突破阻力位,我們就會(huì)形成上升趨勢(shì),然后,同一水平充當(dāng)支撐位,這就是我們?cè)谙聢D中看到?fakey pin bar 組合信號(hào)的地方:
Tips on Support and Resistance
關(guān)于支撐位和阻力位的提示
What is a Japanese candlestick pattern?
什么是日本蠟燭圖形態(tài)?
A?candlestick?shows the open, high, low and close of the market for a particular period of time. If you’re looking at a daily chart time frame for example, each candlestick will reflect the open, high, low and close for that days’ worth of?price action.
蠟燭顯示特定時(shí)間段內(nèi)市場(chǎng)的開(kāi)盤(pán)價(jià)、最高價(jià)、最低價(jià)和收盤(pán)價(jià)。例如,如果您正在查看日線圖時(shí)間框架,則每根燭臺(tái)都將反映當(dāng)天價(jià)格走勢(shì)的開(kāi)盤(pán)價(jià)、最高價(jià)、最低價(jià)和收盤(pán)價(jià)。
The primary difference between a candlestick and a standard price bar, is that candlesticks display a colored portion between the open and close of the candle. This allows traders to quickly see if price closed higher (bullish) or lower (bearish) on the day, which is important piece of information for any price action trader.
燭臺(tái)和標(biāo)準(zhǔn)價(jià)格條之間的主要區(qū)別在于,燭臺(tái)在蠟燭的開(kāi)盤(pán)價(jià)和收盤(pán)價(jià)之間顯示一個(gè)彩色部分。這使交易者能夠快速查看當(dāng)天價(jià)格收盤(pán)價(jià)是更高(看漲)還是更低(看跌),這對(duì)任何價(jià)格行為交易者來(lái)說(shuō)都是重要的信息。
Let’s take a look at a picture of a bullish and bearish candlestick to see this more clearly…
我們來(lái)看一下看漲和看跌 K 線的圖片,以便更清楚地看到這一點(diǎn)……
Note: the candlestick on the left is a ‘bullish candle’ because its close is higher than its open. The candle on the right is a ‘bearish candle’ because its close is lower than its open….
注意:左側(cè)的燭臺(tái)是“看漲蠟燭”,因?yàn)樗氖毡P(pán)價(jià)高于開(kāi)盤(pán)價(jià)。右邊的蠟燭是“看跌蠟燭”,因?yàn)樗氖毡P(pán)價(jià)低于開(kāi)盤(pán)價(jià)。
The colored section of the candlestick is called the “real body” or body. Note: The color of the real body can vary between traders and depends on how they have the colors set / personal preference. The standard color scheme for the real body is white for bullish and black for bearish and is in our opinion, the cleanest and best option.
蠟燭圖的彩色部分稱(chēng)為 “real body” 或 body。注意:真實(shí)身體的顏色可能因交易者而異,具體取決于他們?nèi)绾卧O(shè)置顏色/個(gè)人喜好。真實(shí)實(shí)體的標(biāo)準(zhǔn)配色方案是白色代表看漲,黑色代表看跌,在我們看來(lái),這是最干凈和最好的選擇。
The thin lines poking above and below the body display the high/low range and are called shadows, tails or wicks…all three names apply to the same thing. The top of the upper shadow is the “high”. The bottom of the lower shadow is the “l(fā)ow”.
身體上方和下方戳出的細(xì)線顯示高/低范圍,稱(chēng)為陰影、尾巴或燈芯……所有三個(gè)名稱(chēng)都適用于同一事物。上影線的頂部是 “high”。下影線的底部是 “l(fā)ow”。
What is a candlestick pattern?
什么是燭臺(tái)形態(tài)?
A candlestick pattern is a one or sometimes multi-bar?price action pattern?shown graphically on a candlestick chart that price action traders use to predict market movement. The recognition of the patter is somewhat subjective, as such it requires training by an experienced / professional price action trader as well as one’s own experience via screen time, to develop skill in identifying and trading?candlestick patterns.
K 線形態(tài)是 K 線圖上以圖形方式顯示的單根或有時(shí)多根柱線的價(jià)格行為形態(tài),交易者用它來(lái)預(yù)測(cè)市場(chǎng)走勢(shì)。對(duì)模式的識(shí)別在某種程度上是主觀的,因此它需要由經(jīng)驗(yàn)豐富/專(zhuān)業(yè)的價(jià)格行為交易員進(jìn)行培訓(xùn),并通過(guò)屏幕時(shí)間獲得自己的經(jīng)驗(yàn),以培養(yǎng)識(shí)別和交易燭臺(tái)模式的技能。
There are numerous different candlestick patterns, and many are just slight variations on the same basic principle. Therefore, at priceaction.com, we feel it makes more sense to focus in on a smaller ‘handful’ of proven candlestick patterns that give a trader a solid toolbox of trade signals to work with, rather than trying to learn 30 different patterns, many of which are essentially the same thing.
有許多不同的 K 線形態(tài),其中許多只是同一基本原理的細(xì)微變化。因此,在 priceaction.com,我們認(rèn)為專(zhuān)注于一小部分經(jīng)過(guò)驗(yàn)證的 K 線形態(tài)更有意義,這些形態(tài)為交易者提供了一個(gè)可靠的交易信號(hào)工具箱,而不是試圖學(xué)習(xí) 30 種不同的形態(tài),其中許多形態(tài)本質(zhì)上是一回事。
Here are some of our favorite price action trading candlestick strategies:
以下是我們最喜歡的一些價(jià)格行為交易 K 線策略:
Pin bar candlestick pattern?– A?pin bar candlestick pattern?is a one bar pattern that shows rejection of a price level or area. The pattern has a small real body and a long shadow or ‘tail’ on only one side, indicating rejection of that price area. Pin bars can be traded as?reversal signals?either within a trend or against a trend. Here’s what a pin bar looks like:
Pin bar candlestick pattern?–?pin bar candlestick 模式是一種單條模式,顯示對(duì)價(jià)格水平或區(qū)域的拒絕。該模式有一個(gè)小的真實(shí)實(shí)體和僅在一側(cè)的長(zhǎng)影線或 “尾巴”,表明拒絕該價(jià)格區(qū)域。pin bar 可以作為趨勢(shì)內(nèi)或逆勢(shì)的反轉(zhuǎn)信號(hào)進(jìn)行交易。下面是 pin bar 的樣子:
Inside bar candlestick pattern?– An?inside bar candlestick pattern?is at least a two bar pattern (can have multiple inside bars) that shows indecision or stalling in a market. An?inside bar trading strategy?typically works best in a trending market as a?price action breakout strategy?but can also be used as a reversal strategy sometimes from key chart levels. Here’s an example of inside bars:
內(nèi)條形 K 線形態(tài)?–?內(nèi)線 K 線形態(tài)至少是一個(gè)兩根柱線形態(tài)(可以有多個(gè)內(nèi)線),表明市場(chǎng)猶豫不決或停滯不前。內(nèi)線交易策略通常作為價(jià)格行為突破策略在趨勢(shì)市場(chǎng)中效果最佳,但有時(shí)也可以用作關(guān)鍵圖表水平的反轉(zhuǎn)策略。下面是一個(gè)內(nèi)線示例:
Fakey candlestick pattern?– A?fakey candlestick pattern?is typically a three or four bar pattern that shows a false break of an inside bar pattern. The fakey pattern shows a ‘fake out’ has occurred in the market and the price is likely to then continue in the direction opposite the?false break. Below, we see an example of what the?fakey pattern?looks like:
Fakey candlestick pattern?–?Fakey 燭臺(tái)模式通常是三柱或四柱模式,顯示內(nèi)部柱線模式的假突破。虛假模式顯示市場(chǎng)上發(fā)生了“假出局”,然后價(jià)格可能會(huì)繼續(xù)朝著與虛假突破相反的方向發(fā)展。下面,我們看到?fakey 模式的示例:
What is a candlestick chart?
什么是K線圖?
A?candlestick chart?is a?price chart?that is populated by candlesticks, instead of standard price bars as in a?bar chart?or lines, as in a?line chart.
蠟燭圖是由蠟燭圖填充的價(jià)格圖表,而不是條形圖中的標(biāo)準(zhǔn)價(jià)格條或折線圖中的折線圖。
Each candlestick shows the high, low, open and close for the period of time it reflects, this is the same information reflected in traditional price bars, but candlesticks make this information much easier to visualize and make use of.
每根燭臺(tái)都顯示其反映的時(shí)間段內(nèi)的最高價(jià)、最低價(jià)、開(kāi)盤(pán)價(jià)和收盤(pán)價(jià),這與傳統(tǒng)價(jià)格條中反映的信息相同,但燭臺(tái)使這些信息更容易可視化和使用。
Here’s an example of a typical candlestick chart. Note the pin bar candlestick pattern that formed from support on this chart, and the large up move that followed…
這是一個(gè)典型的 K 線圖示例。請(qǐng)注意此圖表上從支撐位形成的 pin bar 燭臺(tái)形態(tài),以及隨后的大幅上漲走勢(shì)……
Advantage of candlestick charts
K 線圖的優(yōu)勢(shì)
The primary advantage of a candlestick price action chart is that it provides a more impactful or perhaps ‘dramatic’ visual display of price movement over time, than what you will see on a standard bar chart or line chart. Due to the fact that each candle’s real body is colored in according to its close being bullish or bearish, the dynamics between price bars is significantly easier to read, and many traders would argue more ‘fun’ as well.
K 線價(jià)格走勢(shì)圖的主要優(yōu)點(diǎn)是,它比您在標(biāo)準(zhǔn)條形圖或折線圖上看到的價(jià)格走勢(shì)更具影響力或“戲劇性”的視覺(jué)顯示。由于每根蠟燭的真實(shí)實(shí)體都根據(jù)其收盤(pán)價(jià)看漲或看跌而著色,因此價(jià)格條之間的動(dòng)態(tài)明顯更容易閱讀,許多交易者也會(huì)認(rèn)為更“有趣”。
Ultimately, whether a trader uses a standard bar chart or a candlestick chart is a matter of personal preference and opinion. But, it is my opinion, and the opinion of most successful price action traders, that one should use candlestick charts to get a better view and feel for market sentiment and to more easily spot?price action trading signals.
歸根結(jié)底,交易者是使用標(biāo)準(zhǔn)條形圖還是燭臺(tái)圖是個(gè)人喜好和意見(jiàn)的問(wèn)題。但是,我的觀點(diǎn),以及大多數(shù)成功的價(jià)格行為交易者的觀點(diǎn),應(yīng)該使用K線圖來(lái)更好地觀察和感受市場(chǎng)情緒,并更容易發(fā)現(xiàn)價(jià)格行為交易信號(hào)。
A price chart displays the price of a particular market over a period of time. You can change between different time frames on any charting platform. Chart time frames range from 1 minute charts all the way up to monthly and yearly charts.
價(jià)格圖表顯示特定市場(chǎng)在一段時(shí)間內(nèi)的價(jià)格。您可以在任何圖表平臺(tái)上的不同時(shí)間框架之間進(jìn)行更改。圖表時(shí)間范圍從 1 分鐘圖一直到月線圖和年線圖。
There are three main types of charts: Line charts, Bar charts and Candlestick charts. For price action trading, the?candlestick chart?is most commonly accepted as the ‘best’ type of chart to use.
圖表主要有三種類(lèi)型:折線圖、條形圖和蠟燭圖。對(duì)于價(jià)格行為交易,K線圖最常被認(rèn)為是“最佳”圖表類(lèi)型。
However, let’s go through a brief overview of each chart type just so you get familiar with them…
但是,讓我們簡(jiǎn)要概述一下每種圖表類(lèi)型,以便您熟悉它們……
Line Charts 折線圖
Line charts display the price of a market via a line that typically connects the close of one time period to the close of another. Here’s an example of a line chart:
折線圖通過(guò)一條線顯示市場(chǎng)價(jià)格,該線通常將一個(gè)時(shí)間段的收盤(pán)價(jià)與另一個(gè)時(shí)間段的收盤(pán)價(jià)連接起來(lái)。下面是一個(gè)折線圖示例:
The main advantage of a line chart lies in providing you with a quick view of the overall market trend and support and resistance levels. They are not practical to make trade entry or exit decision from because they do not display individual price bars. However, as previously stated, if you want to get a quick view of market trend and key levels, a line chart may prove useful occasionally.
折線圖的主要優(yōu)勢(shì)在于為您提供整體市場(chǎng)趨勢(shì)以及支撐位和阻力位的快速視圖。它們對(duì)于做出交易進(jìn)入或退出決定不切實(shí)際,因?yàn)樗鼈儾伙@示單獨(dú)的價(jià)格柱。但是,如前所述,如果您想快速了解市場(chǎng)趨勢(shì)和關(guān)鍵水平,折線圖可能偶爾會(huì)很有用。
Bar Charts 條形圖
A bar price chart shows a ‘standard price bar’ for the time frame being observed. If you’re looking at a 1 hour chart, you will see a standard price bar for each 1 hour time period, a daily bar chart will show a standard bar for each day on the chart, etc.
條形價(jià)格圖表顯示所觀察的時(shí)間范圍內(nèi)的“標(biāo)準(zhǔn)價(jià)格條”。如果您正在查看 1 小時(shí)圖,您將看到每 1 小時(shí)時(shí)間段的標(biāo)準(zhǔn)價(jià)格條,日線圖將在圖表上顯示每天的標(biāo)準(zhǔn)條,依此類(lèi)推。
Each individual price bar gives us four pieces of information that we can use to help us make our trading decisions: The open, high, low, and close. You will sometimes see bar charts called OHLC charts (open, high, low, close charts), here’s an example of one price bar:
每個(gè)單獨(dú)的價(jià)格條都為我們提供了四條信息,我們可以使用這些信息來(lái)幫助我們做出交易決策:開(kāi)盤(pán)價(jià)、最高價(jià)、最低價(jià)和收盤(pán)價(jià)。您有時(shí)會(huì)看到稱(chēng)為 OHLC 圖表的條形圖(開(kāi)盤(pán)圖、最高圖、最低圖、收盤(pán)圖),下面是一個(gè)價(jià)格條的示例:
A bar chart will display each period of time as a standard OHLC price bar, as seen here:
條形圖將每個(gè)時(shí)間段顯示為標(biāo)準(zhǔn) OHLC 價(jià)格條,如下所示:
Candlestick Charts K 線圖
Candlestick charts are price charts that consist of?candlesticks?instead of traditional price bars, as discussed above. Each candlestick shows the high, low, open and close for the period of time it reflects, this is the same information reflected in traditional price bars, but candlesticks make this information much easier to visualize and make use of…
如上所述,K 線圖是由?K 線而不是傳統(tǒng)價(jià)格條組成的價(jià)格圖表。每根燭臺(tái)都顯示它所反映的時(shí)間段內(nèi)的最高價(jià)、最低價(jià)、開(kāi)盤(pán)價(jià)和收盤(pán)價(jià),這與傳統(tǒng)價(jià)格條中反映的信息相同,但 K 線圖使這些信息更容易可視化和利用……
Candlestick charts indicate the high and low of the given time period just as bar charts do, with a vertical line. The top vertical line is called the upper shadow while the bottom vertical line is called the lower shadow; you might also see the upper and lower shadows referred to as “wicks” or “tails”. The main difference between bar charts and candlesticks charts, lies in how candlestick charts display the opening and closing price. The large block in the middle of the candlestick indicates the range between the opening and closing price. Traditionally this block is called the “real body”.
蠟燭圖與條形圖一樣,用垂直線指示給定時(shí)間段的高點(diǎn)和低點(diǎn)。頂部垂直線稱(chēng)為上影線,而底部垂直線稱(chēng)為下影線;您可能還會(huì)看到稱(chēng)為 “燈芯” 或 “尾部” 的上陰影和下陰影。條形圖和燭臺(tái)圖之間的主要區(qū)別在于燭臺(tái)圖如何顯示開(kāi)盤(pán)價(jià)和收盤(pán)價(jià)。燭臺(tái)中間的大塊表示開(kāi)盤(pán)價(jià)和收盤(pán)價(jià)之間的范圍。傳統(tǒng)上,這個(gè)塊被稱(chēng)為 “real body”。
Typically, if the real body is filled in, or darker in color the currency closed lower than it opened, and if the real body is left unfilled, or usually a lighter color, the currency closed higher than it opened. For example, if the real body is white or another light color, the top of the real body likely indicates the close price and the bottom of the real body indicates the open price. If the real body is black or another dark color, the top of the real body likely indicates the open price and the bottom indicates the close price (I used the word “l(fā)ikely” since you can make the real body whatever color you want).
通常,如果真實(shí)實(shí)體已填充或顏色較深,則貨幣的收盤(pán)價(jià)低于開(kāi)盤(pán)價(jià),如果真實(shí)實(shí)體未填充或通常顏色較淺,則貨幣的收盤(pán)價(jià)高于開(kāi)盤(pán)價(jià)。例如,如果實(shí)體是白色或其他淺色,則實(shí)體的頂部可能表示收盤(pán)價(jià),實(shí)體的底部表示開(kāi)盤(pán)價(jià)。如果實(shí)體是黑色或其他深色,則實(shí)體的頂部可能表示開(kāi)盤(pán)價(jià),底部表示收盤(pán)價(jià)(我使用了“可能”一詞,因?yàn)槟梢詫?shí)體設(shè)置為您想要的任何顏色)。
Here’s an example of the same chart used in the line and bar chart examples above, as a candlestick charts:
以下是上述折線圖和條形圖示例中使用的相同圖表的示例,與燭臺(tái)圖相同:
Why Candlestick Charts are best for Price Action Trading
為什么 K 線圖最適合價(jià)格行為交易
For the following reasons and more, most professional traders use candlestick charts…
出于以下原因以及更多原因,大多數(shù)專(zhuān)業(yè)交易者使用K線圖…
A candlestick chart provides traders with a quick view of overall market sentiment via the colored real bodies of the bars. If a market is very bullish, you will see a lot of white (or whichever color you choose) real bodies, if it’s very bearish for example, you’ll see a lot of black real bodies, this is one big advantage of candlestick charts. The dramatic visual contrast from one candlestick to the next, enables traders to more easily spot?price action strategies?and visualize the differences in dynamics between price bars in a significantly easier and more enjoyable manner than using standard bar charts.
K線圖通過(guò)條形圖的彩色真實(shí)主體為交易者提供了整體市場(chǎng)情緒的快速視圖。如果市場(chǎng)非??礉q,你會(huì)看到很多白色(或你選擇的任何顏色)真實(shí)實(shí)體,例如,如果市場(chǎng)非??吹銜?huì)看到很多黑色真實(shí)實(shí)體,這是 K 線圖的一大優(yōu)勢(shì)。從一個(gè)燭臺(tái)到下一個(gè)燭臺(tái)的巨大視覺(jué)對(duì)比,使交易者能夠更容易地發(fā)現(xiàn)價(jià)格行為策略,并以比使用標(biāo)準(zhǔn)條形圖更輕松、更有趣的方式可視化價(jià)格柱線之間的動(dòng)態(tài)差異。
It’s very important that you use the correct candlestick charting platform, as not all are created equal. The Forex market closes each day following New York trading, at 5pm New York Eastern time. Also, there are 5 full trading days per week in each major trading center around the world. Therefore, you want to use candlestick charts with 5 daily bars per week (not 6 as some show) and that reflect the actual Forex market closing time each day of 5pm NY time. You can download them here.
使用正確的 K 線圖平臺(tái)非常重要,因?yàn)椴⒎撬衅脚_(tái)都是平等的。外匯市場(chǎng)在紐約交易后每天紐約東部時(shí)間下午 5 點(diǎn)收盤(pán)。此外,全球每個(gè)主要交易中心每周有 5 個(gè)完整的交易日。因此,您希望使用每周 5 個(gè)每日柱線(而不是某些顯示的 6 個(gè))的燭臺(tái)圖,并反映紐約時(shí)間每天下午 5 點(diǎn)的實(shí)際外匯市場(chǎng)收盤(pán)時(shí)間。您可以在此處下載它們。
Fundamental analysis vs. Technical analysis
基本面分析 vs. 技術(shù)分析
The age old debate of Fundamental vs. Technical analysis is one that will probably never end. Fundamental traders trade solely off news and economic data, or “fundamentals”, as they believe they can make the best trading decisions from analyzing this information. Whereas, technical analysis traders make their trading decisions solely off price charts. Price action traders, are a specific type of technical analysis trader who make all their trading decisions solely off a market’s price movement or?price action. Other technical analysis traders may use indicators or trading software systems, etc., but the price action trader only uses a market’s price action.
基本面分析與技術(shù)分析的古老爭(zhēng)論可能永遠(yuǎn)不會(huì)結(jié)束。基本面交易者僅根據(jù)新聞和經(jīng)濟(jì)數(shù)據(jù)或“基本面”進(jìn)行交易,因?yàn)樗麄兿嘈潘麄兛梢酝ㄟ^(guò)分析這些信息來(lái)做出最佳交易決策。然而,技術(shù)分析交易者僅根據(jù)價(jià)格圖表做出交易決策。價(jià)格行為交易者是一種特定類(lèi)型的技術(shù)分析交易者,他們僅根據(jù)市場(chǎng)的價(jià)格變動(dòng)或價(jià)格行為做出所有交易決策。其他技術(shù)分析交易者可能會(huì)使用指標(biāo)或交易軟件系統(tǒng)等,但價(jià)格行為交易者只使用市場(chǎng)的價(jià)格行為。
The primary reason why I trade with and highly recommend price action trading, is simply because all of the fundamental variables that affect a market, from any news event (war, weather, politics, etc.) to economic reports, are all ultimately reflected by price movement (price action) on a raw / ‘naked’ price chart. Thus, in my opinion, and in the opinion of many other successful traders, analyzing fundamental data is simply a distraction and a waste of time. It’s a waste of time because you can get all the information you need about a market simply by analyzing its price action, as the price action reflects all this fundamental data anyways.
我交易并強(qiáng)烈推薦價(jià)格行為交易的主要原因很簡(jiǎn)單,因?yàn)橛绊懯袌?chǎng)的所有基本變量,從任何新聞事件(戰(zhàn)爭(zhēng)、天氣、政治等)到經(jīng)濟(jì)報(bào)告,最終都反映在原始/“裸”價(jià)格圖表上的價(jià)格變動(dòng)(價(jià)格行為)。因此,在我和許多其他成功交易者看來(lái),分析基本面數(shù)據(jù)只是分散注意力和浪費(fèi)時(shí)間。這是浪費(fèi)時(shí)間,因?yàn)槟恍璺治銎鋬r(jià)格行為即可獲得有關(guān)市場(chǎng)的所有信息,因?yàn)闊o(wú)論如何,價(jià)格行為都反映了所有這些基本數(shù)據(jù)。
Think of price action trading as getting the purest form of market data, filtered and cleaned up for you to use. As a trader, we are simply trying to take advantage of price movements in the market, so it only makes sense to analyze the actual price action, rather than trying to analyze variables that will eventually lead to price action. I like to think of price action as getting the market data ‘straight from the horses mouth’, as the old saying goes.
將價(jià)格行為交易視為獲得最純粹形式的市場(chǎng)數(shù)據(jù),經(jīng)過(guò)過(guò)濾和清理供您使用。作為交易者,我們只是試圖利用市場(chǎng)的價(jià)格變動(dòng),因此只有分析實(shí)際的價(jià)格行為才有意義,而不是試圖分析最終導(dǎo)致價(jià)格行為的變量。正如老話所說(shuō),我喜歡將價(jià)格行為視為“直接從馬嘴中”獲取市場(chǎng)數(shù)據(jù)。
Noise vs. Clarity
Price action filters all market data and provides a clear picture of what is happening in a market. If you try analyzing all the fundamental variables that can influence a market each day, you will drive yourself crazy. It really comes down to noise versus clarity. There’s a lot of ‘noise’ in the financial media about what a market ‘might’ do next if X,Y or Z happens, it all sounds very professional coming from the talking heads on T.V. and the internet, but at the end of the day, nothing they say really matters. This is because, all that really matters is what the charts show us via the price action.
價(jià)格行為過(guò)濾所有市場(chǎng)數(shù)據(jù),并清楚地了解市場(chǎng)中發(fā)生的事情。如果您嘗試每天分析所有可能影響市場(chǎng)的基本變量,您會(huì)讓自己發(fā)瘋。這真的歸結(jié)為噪音與清晰度。如果 X、Y 或 Z 發(fā)生,財(cái)經(jīng)媒體上有很多關(guān)于市場(chǎng)“可能”下一步做什么的“噪音”,這些聲音聽(tīng)起來(lái)都非常專(zhuān)業(yè),但歸根結(jié)底,他們所說(shuō)的一切都無(wú)關(guān)緊要。這是因?yàn)?,真正重要的是圖表通過(guò)價(jià)格行為向我們展示的內(nèi)容。
In the chart below, notice how the EURUSD market was in a clear downtrend from early May 2014 through mid-November 2015. Simply reading the raw price action of the chart would have told you that prices were likely to continue to fall because a downtrend was in place during this time. From this information, we could have watched for?price action reversal strategies?from resistance as well as bearish?price action breakout patterns?to trade in-line with the downtrend. Meanwhile, there were countless news events and economic reports released during these 7 months that implied price could push higher, while others said price might continue falling. You can avoid all this noise and contradictory data by simply looking at the raw price data on your price charts…
在下圖中,請(qǐng)注意 EURUSD 市場(chǎng)從 2014 年 5 月初到 2015 年 11 月中旬如何處于明顯的下跌趨勢(shì)中。僅閱讀圖表的原始價(jià)格行為就會(huì)告訴您,價(jià)格可能會(huì)繼續(xù)下跌,因?yàn)樵诖似陂g存在下降趨勢(shì)。從這些信息中,我們可以觀察來(lái)自阻力位的價(jià)格行為反轉(zhuǎn)策略以及看跌價(jià)格行為突破模式,以與下降趨勢(shì)保持一致進(jìn)行交易。與此同時(shí),在這 7 個(gè)月中發(fā)布的無(wú)數(shù)新聞事件和經(jīng)濟(jì)報(bào)告暗示價(jià)格可能會(huì)走高,而其他人則表示價(jià)格可能會(huì)繼續(xù)下跌。您只需查看價(jià)格圖表上的原始價(jià)格數(shù)據(jù)即可避免所有這些噪音和矛盾數(shù)據(jù)……
Conclusion 結(jié)論
Not everyone reading this lesson is going to agree with me 100%. Some people are always going to be convinced that they ‘need’ to analyze fundamental data and economic news reports, as there’s just so much of this information streaming out of the financial media each day. However, you will need to decide that you will follow and trade from something, and you can’t follow everything or you’ll be in a constant state of confusion and doubt.
不是每個(gè)閱讀這節(jié)課的人都會(huì) 100% 同意我的觀點(diǎn)。有些人總是會(huì)相信他們“需要”分析基本面數(shù)據(jù)和經(jīng)濟(jì)新聞報(bào)道,因?yàn)槊刻於加写罅啃畔呢?cái)經(jīng)媒體流出。但是,您需要決定您將跟隨某物并從中進(jìn)行交易,而您不能跟隨所有內(nèi)容,否則您將一直處于困惑和懷疑的狀態(tài)。
Experienced traders will likely understand better what I am talking about when I say that “all market variables are filtered through and reflected on a naked price chart”, but as a beginner it can be a hard pill to swallow at first. However, based on my experiences in the market, I am 100% confidence that following news and other fundamental data will eventual lead you to blow out your trading account. My experiences have shown me that a trader should strive to analyze and trade from a limited amount of data and use that data (price action) to make their trading decisions. If you let everything and anything influence your trading decisions, you will just be a gambler with no real strategy or trade edge.
當(dāng)我說(shuō)“所有市場(chǎng)變量都經(jīng)過(guò)過(guò)濾并反映在裸價(jià)圖表上”時(shí),經(jīng)驗(yàn)豐富的交易員可能會(huì)更好地理解我在說(shuō)什么,但作為初學(xué)者,一開(kāi)始這可能是一顆難以下咽的藥丸。但是,根據(jù)我在市場(chǎng)上的經(jīng)驗(yàn),我 100% 相信關(guān)注新聞和其他基本數(shù)據(jù)最終會(huì)導(dǎo)致您的交易賬戶(hù)爆倉(cāng)。我的經(jīng)驗(yàn)告訴我,交易者應(yīng)該努力從有限數(shù)量的數(shù)據(jù)中進(jìn)行分析和交易,并使用這些數(shù)據(jù)(價(jià)格行為)來(lái)做出交易決策。如果您讓所有事情影響您的交易決策,那么您將只是一個(gè)沒(méi)有真正策略或交易優(yōu)勢(shì)的賭徒。
I cannot guarantee that you will make money in the market by trading price action, but I can guarantee that doing so will give you the best possible chance, if you trade with discipline and patience. Trading with price action will remove a lot of the mental confusion from your trading and will give you clarity as to what your trading method is and what the market *might* do next. It won’t be easy, but the next time you see CNBC on, or Bloomberg, or come across an article from some ‘expert’ on what the Forex market ‘might’ do next, you’ve got to ignore it and go check out the charts to see what the price action is doing, as this is the best way to see what market actually IS doing and MIGHT do next.
我不能保證您會(huì)通過(guò)交易價(jià)格行為在市場(chǎng)上賺錢(qián),但我可以保證,如果您以紀(jì)律和耐心進(jìn)行交易,這樣做會(huì)給您最好的機(jī)會(huì)。價(jià)格行為交易將消除您交易中的許多心理困惑,并讓您清楚地了解您的交易方法是什么以及市場(chǎng)下一步可能做什么。這并不容易,但下次您在 CNBC 或彭博社上看到,或者看到一些“專(zhuān)家”關(guān)于外匯市場(chǎng)下一步“可能”做什么的文章時(shí),您必須忽略它并去查看圖表,看看價(jià)格行為在做什么,因?yàn)檫@是了解市場(chǎng)實(shí)際在做什么以及下一步可能做什么的最佳方式。
Are all of these technical studies, i.e., indicators, various chart patterns, etc. really necessary or worth it? Why do some traders become convinced that these various technical analysis studies are the ‘ticket’ to financial success in the market whilst others rely only on raw?price action strategies? We will address these and other questions below…
所有這些技術(shù)研究,即指標(biāo)、各種圖表模式等,真的有必要或值得嗎?為什么一些交易者確信這些不同的技術(shù)分析研究是在市場(chǎng)上取得財(cái)務(wù)成功的“門(mén)票”,而另一些交易者則只依賴(lài)原始的價(jià)格行為策略?我們將在下面回答這些問(wèn)題和其他問(wèn)題……
Why all Technical Analysis methods are not created equal
為什么并非所有技術(shù)分析方法都是平等的
Whilst we appreciate and respect technical analysts, as pure price action traders who focus on reading the raw price action on price charts, we do not subscribe to the idea that ‘a(chǎn)ny technical study is a good study’. Instead, we stick to a handful of simple but effective price-based principles and don’t look at charts and try to curve fit what we see into matching a text book theory example as many popular technical indicator-based trading systems do. There are hundreds of patterns, technical indicator settings and so on, technical trading even if narrowed down into a niche / specific topic can be very haphazard and hindsight is often the way such technical methods are advertised or represented to the beginning trader. Unfortunately, relying heavily on indicators and other technical analysis methods that largely ignore price action, often leads to dramatic long-term failure for retail traders.
雖然我們欣賞并尊重技術(shù)分析師,但作為專(zhuān)注于閱讀價(jià)格圖表上原始價(jià)格行為的純粹價(jià)格行為交易者,我們并不贊同“任何技術(shù)研究都是好研究”的想法。相反,我們堅(jiān)持一些簡(jiǎn)單但有效的基于價(jià)格的原則,不像許多流行的基于技術(shù)指標(biāo)的交易系統(tǒng)那樣,看圖表并試圖將我們所看到的曲線擬合到與教科書(shū)理論示例相匹配。有數(shù)百種模式、技術(shù)指標(biāo)設(shè)置等,技術(shù)交易即使縮小到一個(gè)利基/特定主題也可能非常隨意,事后諸葛亮通常是此類(lèi)技術(shù)方法向初學(xué)者宣傳或展示的方式。不幸的是,嚴(yán)重依賴(lài)在很大程度上忽略?xún)r(jià)格行為的指標(biāo)和其他技術(shù)分析方法,通常會(huì)導(dǎo)致散戶(hù)交易者的長(zhǎng)期失敗。
Many technical analysis tools or methods are full of what I call ‘noise’. That means they include numerous unnecessary variables like technical indicators such as RSI, Stochastic, MACD and countless others. The simplest explanation for why these technical indicators are simply a waste of time, is that they are all just derivatives of?price action. If you are going to analyse something derived from price action, in order to make a prediction as to where price might move next, why would you not just analyse the raw price action in the first place?
許多技術(shù)分析工具或方法都充滿了我所說(shuō)的“噪音”。這意味著它們包括許多不必要的變量,例如 RSI、隨機(jī)指標(biāo)、MACD 等技術(shù)指標(biāo)。為什么這些技術(shù)指標(biāo)只是浪費(fèi)時(shí)間,最簡(jiǎn)單的解釋是它們都只是價(jià)格行為的衍生品。如果您要分析從價(jià)格行為中得出的東西,以便預(yù)測(cè)價(jià)格下一步可能會(huì)走向何方,為什么不首先分析原始價(jià)格行為呢?
By analysing ‘other’ technical studies, besides price action, you’re simply adding unnecessary variables and cluttering up the trading process, your charts and your mind. It’s simply unnecessary to trade like this. All you need to make market predictions is raw, natural price data that any market supplies you for free. Don’t believe the hype or any website / ‘guru’ telling you that you ‘need’ XYZ trading system, because all you really need is price action
通過(guò)分析“其他”技術(shù)研究,除了價(jià)格行為之外,您只是在添加不必要的變量,并使交易過(guò)程、圖表和頭腦變得混亂。像這樣交易根本沒(méi)有必要。進(jìn)行市場(chǎng)預(yù)測(cè)所需的只是任何市場(chǎng)免費(fèi)為您提供的原始、自然的價(jià)格數(shù)據(jù)。不要相信炒作或任何網(wǎng)站/“大師”告訴您您“需要”XYZ 交易系統(tǒng),因?yàn)槟嬲枰闹皇莾r(jià)格行為
Why price action analysis is the best technical analysis method
為什么價(jià)格行為分析是最好的技術(shù)分析方法
I have filtered all the technical analysis ‘noise’ taught around the web and in books, I’ve filtered the crap and condensed it down to what I know works and what is logical. What I ended up with is raw price action, i.e. price movement on an indicator-free?price chart.
我已經(jīng)過(guò)濾了網(wǎng)絡(luò)上和書(shū)籍中教授的所有技術(shù)分析“噪音”,我過(guò)濾了廢話并將其濃縮為我知道有效的和合乎邏輯的。我最終得到的是原始價(jià)格行為,即無(wú)指標(biāo)價(jià)格圖表上的價(jià)格變動(dòng)。
By ‘price action, I mean focusing just on the raw chart with nothing but?candlestick price?bars,?on watching the key levels of?support and resistance, and on determining market bias and trend in the short term and long term. This is done simply by visually observing or ‘reading the chart’, not relying on 3rd party instruments or technical studies.
我所說(shuō)的“價(jià)格行為”,是指只關(guān)注原始圖表,只關(guān)注燭臺(tái)價(jià)格條,觀察支撐位和阻力位的關(guān)鍵水平,以及確定短期和長(zhǎng)期的市場(chǎng)偏見(jiàn)和趨勢(shì)。這只需通過(guò)目視觀察或“閱讀圖表”來(lái)完成,而不是依賴(lài)第三方工具或技術(shù)研究。
By using a specific set of price bar patterns or ‘signals’ for entries, and to a lesser extent exits, we can map the market first as price action analysts, then we can massage or locate an entry after patiently waiting for a confluence of factors to align.
通過(guò)使用一組特定的價(jià)格條模式或“信號(hào)”進(jìn)行入場(chǎng),并在較小程度上退出,我們可以首先作為價(jià)格行為分析師繪制市場(chǎng)地圖,然后我們可以在耐心等待因素匯合后調(diào)整或找到入場(chǎng)點(diǎn)。
A confluence of factors can be easily described by looking for T.L.S. or ‘Trend, Level, Signal”, and by doing so, we can put the odds in our favour. This simply means looking for two of the three TLS factors to align and then looking for an entry at the point where they align; either a trend or a level, or a level and a signal, or a trend or a signal, etc. If you can get two or more of these factors in alignment, you have a potential price action entry on your hands.
通過(guò)尋找 T.L.S. 或 “趨勢(shì)、水平、信號(hào)” 可以很容易地描述因素的匯合,通過(guò)這樣做,我們可以使賠率對(duì)我們有利。這只是意味著尋找三個(gè) TLS 因素中的兩個(gè)來(lái)對(duì)齊,然后在它們對(duì)齊的點(diǎn)尋找一個(gè)條目;要么是趨勢(shì)或水平,要么是水平和信號(hào),要么是趨勢(shì)或信號(hào),等等。如果您可以調(diào)整其中兩個(gè)或多個(gè)因素,那么您就有一個(gè)潛在的價(jià)格行為入場(chǎng)點(diǎn)。
Technical analysis doesn’t need to be more complicated than looking for the dominate market trend, identify key chart levels and then looking for price action entry signals. Anyone who tells you otherwise is either trying to sell you something or doesn’t know what they’re talking about.
技術(shù)分析不需要比尋找主導(dǎo)市場(chǎng)趨勢(shì)、確定關(guān)鍵圖表水平然后尋找價(jià)格行為入場(chǎng)信號(hào)更復(fù)雜。任何告訴你不這樣做的人要么是想向你推銷(xiāo)東西,要么是不知道他們?cè)谡f(shuō)什么。